Reds vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 30, 2024

Reds at Padres

1:40 am • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

5 - 2

San Diego Padres

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Waldron			4.91	7-11
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	-1.5	-1.5+160	o8+100	-105
Padres 0-0	u8	+1.5-190	u8-115	-112

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

April 30, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

SD -110

0.55u

Bet to -115

N.Lodolo u16.5 Outs-115

1.15u

CIN -108

Under 8-115

0.87u

CIN -109

2.75u

N.Lodolo u5.5 Ks-110

0.55u

M.Waldron o4.5 Ks-115

0.58u

CIN -110

1.5u

Happy Lodolo day to those who celebrate

M.Waldron u16.5 Outs-125

1.25u

Waldron is at 4.04 pitches per PA (top 25th percentile of qualifiers), with a strike rate that ranks 99th of 133. The Reds take a ton of pitches: 3.99 per PA is the 4th highest mark in baseball, with a bottom 5 swing rate. Waldron is under this line in 4/5 games, and has notably struggled in both his home starts (also had elevated OPS last season at home).

CIN -110

0.91u

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Featured Insight
The Padres scored first in 56% of their games last season -- fourth highest in MLB. The Reds allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games last season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .712 since the 2022 season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Jose Alvarado has allowed an OPS of just .578 (426 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	PHI	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 8	PHI -144
Apr 28th	PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -117
Apr 27th	PHI	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -108
Apr 25th	@COL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 11	COL -148
Apr 25th	@COL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 10.5	SD -149

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	99	7	11	1
RF.Cruz, P	14	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	23	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Benson, CF	2-4	1	0	0
1W.Benson, RF	2-4	1	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	1	1
3S.Steer, LF	1-4	0	0	1
4J.Fraley, RF	0-4	0	0	0
4B.Thompson, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.India, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Martini, DH	1-3	2	0	0
7J.Candelario, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
8S.Espinal, 3B	1-3	0	0	2
9L.Maile, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Waldron, P	97	6	4	4
RJ.Estrada, P	20	2	2	0
LT.Cosgrove, P	18	0.2	0	1
RS.Kolek, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Profar, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2F.Tatis, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
6H.Kim, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Pauley, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7G.Pauley, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Azocar, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Merrill, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Merrill, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-2	0	0	0
9L.Campusano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Campusano, C	0-1	0	0	0