Rockies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Rockies at Pirates

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Colorado Rockies

24-42

3 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

34-32

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Perez			5.21	2-5
C.Quantrill			4.97	8-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 24-42	+1.5-134	o8-112	+153
Pirates 34-32	-1.5+112	u8-108	-182

Friday 10:40 p.m.

May 03, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Under 8.5-105

Under 8.5-110

Over 8.5-110

0.55u

Under 8+107

$21.40

COL +145

1.45u

COL +130 (F5)

COL +0.5 (F5)-108

PIT -0.5 (F5)-120

$1.20

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-106

0.53u

Over 8-120

Under 8.5-115

0.87u

... under when home team shutout Overall: 413-291-40,59% (ROI:13%) Season:2-1-0,67% (ROI:26%)

Over 8-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-106)

COL +160

1.6u

Conceeding a starting pitching edge, neither Quantrill (5.45 SIERA/4.12 xERA), nor Perez (4.47/4.53) are actually good. PIT 83/77/63 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7days, COL 82/75/77. With COL def edge, willing to accept a bullpen deficit for higher price than F5.

Featured Insight
Rockies hitters have a groundball rate of 50% over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Pirates over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Rockies are just 48-29 (.623) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .785.

The Rockies are just 0-1 (.000) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.

Ezequiel Tovar has struck out in 28% of PA's since last season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 41% since last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Ryan McMahon has struck out in 31% of PA's since last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 41% since last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 24% (17 SO in 70 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 24% (17 SO in 70 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 43% -- second Percentile.

Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 57% of the time (124/217) this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 35% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 18-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Pirates' 33 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	34-32	16-17	18-15	18-18	15-14
Rockies	33-33	15-16	18-17	0-1	33-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	37-27-2	22-11	15-16-2	24-12	12-15-2
Rockies	32-32-2	15-14-2	17-18	0-0-1	32-32-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	34-32	18-15	16-17	21-15	12-17
Rockies	24-42	12-19	12-23	0-1	24-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 1st	@ATH	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATH -110
May 1st	@ATH	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATH -135
Apr 30th	@ATH	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATH -130
Apr 28th	@SF	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7	SF -111
Apr 28th	@SF	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT +124

Kris Bryant
DH
Bryant is out with back
Out
Zac Veen
LF
Veen is out with knee
Out
McCade Brown
SP
Brown is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	99	7.2	9	0
RJ.Bird, P	25	0.2	1	1
LJ.Beeks, P	10	0.2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Tovar, SS	2-5	0	0	0
2B.Doyle, CF	1-5	0	0	0
3R.McMahon, 3B	2-5	1	1	1
4E.Diaz, DH	2-4	1	0	0
5E.Montero, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
6C.Blackmon, RF	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Cave, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Cave, RF	0-0	0	0	0
7B.Rodgers, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8J.Beck, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Stallings, C	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	88	5.1	4	3
RH.Stratton, P	36	1.2	3	0
RC.Holderman, P	15	1	1	0
RK.Nicolas, P	25	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, RF	0-3	1	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4O.Cruz, SS	1-4	1	1	2
5R.Tellez, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5C.Joe, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Triolo, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
7J.Suwinski, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Bart, C	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-2	0	0	0