Royals vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2026

Royals at Mariners

1:40 am • SEAM

Kansas City Royals

34-46

3 - 2

Seattle Mariners

41-39

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Hancock			3.60	5-4
S.Lugo			3.69	3-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 34-46	+1.5	+1.5-179	o8-106	+120
Mariners 41-39	u7.5	-1.5+152	u8-111	-142

Sunday 1:40 a.m.

May 03, 2026

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

D.Canzone o1.5 Total Bases+180

0.29u

#EV 4.21%

Over 7.5-120

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Recent form is the entry point, with Kansas City over 7.5 in 8 of its last 10 and Seattle there in 7 of 10. Hancock has allowed 7 HR in 34.2 IP, which gives the Royals a clean path without needing constant traffic. The listed 2026 meetings already landed on 15, 15, 7, and 8 runs before the latest 7-6 log.

S.Lugo u2.5 Earned Runs-105

KC +125

1.56u

B.Witt o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

1.15u

Has 2+ HRRs in 9/L11 games & has a solid chance at 5+ PAs again here. He’s 2 for 7 with a HR vs Hancock who’s allowed a high 12.0% Barrel% & 4.52 xERA. He hits his pitch mix well too. Usually 1.5 HRR lines aren’t playable for Bobby so I’ll take advantage while I can.

B.Witt o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125

1.25u

J.Caglianone o0.5 HR+507

0.1u

B.Witt o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

C.Jensen o0.5 HR+525

0.25u

V.Pasquantino o0.5 HR+547

0.25u

Under 7.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -120

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-145

$1.45

Under 7.5-110

0.5u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 15-24 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Mariners' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	30-50	15-26	15-24	28-46	2-4
Royals	35-45	19-22	16-23	14-21	20-24

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	37-40-3	19-21-1	18-19-2	35-36-3	2-4
Royals	38-41-1	21-19-1	17-22	21-14	17-26-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	41-39	22-19	19-20	39-35	2-4
Royals	34-46	19-22	15-24	16-19	17-27

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	KC	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7	KC -139
Apr 29th	@MIN	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8	SEA -135
Apr 28th	@MIN	W 7-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	SEA -125
Apr 27th	@MIN	L 4-11	-1.5 L	O 9	MIN -124
Apr 26th	@STL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	SEA -132

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Lugo, P	103	6	6	2
RL.Avila, P	23	2	1	0
LM.Strahm, P	8	1	0	0
RL.Erceg, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Garcia, 3B	1-4	0	2
2B.Witt, SS	1-5	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	1-4	0	0
4S.Perez, DH	1-4	0	0
4L.Thomas, PR	0-0	1	0
4L.Thomas, DH	0-0	1	0
5C.Jensen, C	0-4	0	0
6J.Caglianone, RF	2-4	0	1
7I.Collins, LF	1-4	0	0
8M.Massey, 2B	0-4	1	0
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Hancock, P	103	7	14	1
RE.Bazardo, P	12	1	1	0
RA.Munoz, P	10	1	1	0
RC.Criswell, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	1-5	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	2-4	1	0
3J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	0	1
4R.Arozarena, LF	0-3	0	0
5C.Young, 2B	0-4	0	0
6D.Canzone, DH	0-3	0	0
6R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0
6R.Refsnyder, DH	0-1	0	0
7L.Raley, RF	1-3	0	0
7C.Joe, PH	0-1	0	0
7C.Joe, RF	0-1	0	0
8M.Garver, C	1-4	0	0
9L.Rivas, 3B	1-3	1	0