Royals vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2023

Royals at Twins

6:10 pm • BSN

Kansas City Royals

0-0

3 - 9

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Maeda			4.23	6-8
Z. Greinke			5.06	2-15

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 0-0	+1.5-125	o9-105	+160
Twins 0-0	-1.5+105	u9-115	-190

Tuesday 6:10 p.m.

July 04, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

Over 9-105

MIN -1.5+102

1.53u

Z.Greinke u15.5 Outs-135

$135.00

B.Buxton o1.5 Total Bases-115

Under 9-115

1.15u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Fourth of July MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 4, 2023 UTC

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The Royals are just 59-96 (.381) after a loss since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Nicky Lopez is slugging just .248 on non-fastballs since last season -- third worst among hitters with at least 367 total PA's-- first Percentile. Griffin Jax has thrown off-speed pitches 66% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

72% of non-fastball strikeouts for Kyle Farmer are located out of the zone since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 88th Percentile. 77% of Zack Greinke non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Zack Greinke has walked 13 of 366 batters (4%) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 98th Percentile.

Zack Greinke has allowed a slugging percentage of .831 (49 Total Bases / 59 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .433 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	KC	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN -235
Jul 2nd	@BAL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL -120
Jul 1st	@BAL	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN +124
Jun 30th	@BAL	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN -110
Jun 28th	@ATL	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 10	ATL +135

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ. Greinke, P	82	5.1	3	6
RN. Wittgren, P	36	1.2	1	3
RJ.Heasley, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, DH	1-4	2	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-4	1	1	2
3N.Pratto, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
4S.Perez, C	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Melendez, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Massey, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8D.Blanco, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Lopez, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	87	7	9	1
RO.Ortega, P	13	1	0	0
RJ.Lopez, P	8	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Correa, SS	1-5	1	0	0
2D.Solano, 2B	3-4	3	1	1
2J.Gallo, LF	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	3-4	3	1	1
4A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-3	1	0	2
5M.Kepler, RF	2-3	1	1	4
6J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6K.Farmer, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
7W.Castro, LF	0-3	0	0	1
7W.Castro, 3B	0-3	0	0	1
8C.Vazquez, C	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-4	0	0	0