Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 7, 2023

Twins at Guardians

5:40 pm • BSGL

Minnesota Twins

0-0

0 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Quantrill			5.24	4-7
J.Ryan			4.51	11-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+106	o8.5-110	-160
Guardians 0-0	+1.5-128	u8.5-110	+132

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

May 07, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

Over 8-110

1.1u

MIN -1-125

2.5u

MIN -150

0.75u

Over 8.5-110

J.Ryan o4.5 Ks-125

1.25u

Yes it’s Cleveland, but 6 of the last 8 righty starters have cleared this mark against them. Ryan’s tweaked his arsenal (eschewing the slider for a split finger), which gives me a bit more comfort as he’s going up against a familiar inter-divisional opponent.

CLE +117

1.17u

CLE +1.5-145

MIN -135

1.35u

Over 8-110

0.55u

Bet to -116

CLE +120

0.6u

Need +120 or better

Under 8-108

Project 7; Guardians low wRC+ v righties, Twins 25% K rate against lefties

The Guardians are just 12-10 (.545) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 11% (15/142) against Cal Quantrill this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 13% (33/251) against Cal Quantrill this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 6th	MIN	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE -110
May 5th	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN +100
May 3rd	@NYY	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY -120
May 2nd	@NYY	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7	NYY +132
May 1st	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE +108

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	100	6	4	2
RE.Pagan, P	12	1	0	0
RB.Stewart, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Kepler, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
4B.Buxton, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
6J.Gallo, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Gordon, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9R.Jeffers, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RC.Quantrill, P	95	7	4
RJ.Karinchak, P	17	1	1
RE.Clase, P	13	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-4	1	0
2M.Straw, CF	1-4	1	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	0	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0
5J.Bell, DH	2-4	0	1
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0
7G.Arias, SS	2-3	0	0
8W.Brennan, RF	0-3	0	0
9C. Gallagher, C	0-3	0	0