Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023

Twins at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Minnesota Twins

0-0

3 - 4

Cleveland Guardians

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Allen			3.81	7-8
S.Gray			2.79	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+159	o7.5+100	-110
Guardians 0-0	+1.5-191	u7.5-120	-110

Saturday 10:10 p.m.

May 06, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 7.5-120

L.Allen o5.5 Ks-130

Over 7.5+100

0.5u

CLE -110

0.91u

L.Allen o5.5 Ks-135

2.03u

8 K’s in each of his 1st two starts (both against teams in the bottom half of K% vs LHP) - now gets MIN who is 2nd (29.9%) and 27th in wRC+. Lefties are 5/5 on this line vs MIN this season.

CLE -105

CLE +106

2.12u

Past plus money makes this worth a little more than 1U

CLE +100

0.4u

CLE +100

0.5u

Need +100 or better

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Action Network Staff•
May 6, 2023 UTC

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The Twins are 9-8 (.529) on the road this season -- tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Guardians are just 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

Sonny Gray has struck out 36% (31/85) of right-handed batters he faced this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 97th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray's pitches (357/702) with two-strikes since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

Logan Allen had a strikeout rate of 36% (16/45) over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) -- 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 96th Percentile.

Logan Allen threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 77% (27/35) of opposing batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) -- tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN +100
May 3rd	@NYY	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY -120
May 2nd	@NYY	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7	NYY +132
May 1st	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE +108
Apr 30th	@BOS	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 9	BOS +105

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	90	5	6	3
RJ.Alcala, P	29	2	3	1
LJ. Moran, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Buxton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	1	1
4D.Solano, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Kirilloff, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Miranda, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
6M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	1	2
7W.Castro, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Gallo, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-1	0	0	0
9N.Gordon, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9N.Gordon, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	92	5.2	3	2
RJ.Karinchak, P	6	0.1	1	0
RT.Stephan, P	17	1.1	2	1
LS.Hentges, P	12	0.2	2	0
RE.Clase, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2A.Rosario, SS	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, DH	1-4	1	0	1
5J.Bell, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
5W.Brennan, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Arias, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8M. Zunino, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	0-2	0	0	1