Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023

Twins at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Minnesota Twins

0-0

3 - 4

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Allen			3.81	7-8
S.Gray			2.79	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	-1.5+159	o7.5+100	-110
Guardians 1-2	+1.5-191	u7.5-120	-110

Saturday 10:10 p.m.

May 06, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 7.5-120

L.Allen o5.5 Ks-130

CLE -112

Over 7.5+100

0.5u

CLE -110

0.91u

CLE +100

$1.00

CLE -105

Under 3.5 (F5)+115

0.4u

CLE +106

2.12u

Past plus money makes this worth a little more than 1U

CLE +100

0.4u

CLE +100

0.5u

Need +100 or better

CLE -105

1.05u

Under 8.5-120

$41.67

Minnesota has been rough vs LHP and I’m an Allen believer. May even target MN team total under F5

Our Best Bets From Saturday Afternoon's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
May 6, 2023 UTC

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The Twins are 9-8 (.529) on the road this season -- tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .480.

The Guardians are just 2-8 (.200) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.

Sonny Gray has struck out 36% (31/85) of right-handed batters he faced this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 97th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 51% of Sonny Gray's pitches (357/702) with two-strikes since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- 0 Percentile.

Logan Allen had a strikeout rate of 36% (16/45) over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) -- 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 96th Percentile.

Logan Allen threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 77% (27/35) of opposing batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (2 games) -- tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 98th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Twins	78-84	37-44	41-40	36-51	40-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Twins	73-83-6	39-39-3	34-44-3	42-42-3	29-39-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Twins	70-92	38-43	32-49	41-46	28-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	MIN	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN +100
May 3rd	@NYY	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYY -120
May 2nd	@NYY	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7	NYY +132
May 1st	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE +108
Apr 30th	@BOS	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 9	BOS +105

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Alan Roden
LF
Roden is out with thumb
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	90	5	6	3
RJ.Alcala, P	29	2	3	1
LJ.Moran, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Buxton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-4	1	1	1
4D.Solano, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4A.Kirilloff, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4A.Kirilloff, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Miranda, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
6M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	1	2
7W.Castro, LF	1-4	0	0	0
8R.Jeffers, C	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Gallo, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-1	0	0	0
9N.Gordon, PH	0-2	0	0	0
9N.Gordon, CF	0-2	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	92	5.2	3	2
RJ.Karinchak, P	6	0.1	1	0
RT.Stephan, P	17	1.1	2	1
LS.Hentges, P	12	0.2	2	0
RE.Clase, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	1	1
2A.Rosario, SS	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4J.Naylor, DH	1-4	1	0	1
5J.Bell, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
5W.Brennan, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Arias, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7G.Arias, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8M. Zunino, C	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	0-2	0	0	1