Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - December 29, 2023

Grizzlies at Nuggets

2:00 am • ALT

Memphis Grizzlies

9-7

105

105 - 142

Denver Nuggets

8-6

142

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Grizzlies 9-7	+6	+9-106	o222.5-112	+300
Nuggets 8-6	u227.5	-9-114	u222.5-110	-375

Friday 2:00 a.m.

December 29, 2023

Ball ArenaDenver

MEM +9-105

1.05u

K.Caldwell-Pope o1.5 3pt M-125

0.8u

Under 224.5-110

Idk how this game goes over - we’ll see

MEM +2.5 (1Q)-110

Over 224.5-110

0.91u

MEM u108.5 Team Total-110

0.91u

Over this number since Ja’s return - Denver clamps

K.Caldwell-Pope o9.5 Pts-120

0.5u

#tailing @JoeDellera and @PropBomb

K.Caldwell-Pope o9.5 Pts-120

8 PTS on 30% FG last meeting, AG is OUT. In 225 w/ him off the court, KCP avg. 13.7 PPG Per-30 MIN. 10+ in 10 of L11 in sample. MEM allow 2nd most 3PM and 6th most SU PPG. Tillman/JJJ will be on Jokic. Smart on Murray. #PlayerProps

M.Porter o26.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

1.2u

This game sets up well for MPJ - MEM is bottom 5 vs spot up shooters, tough in the paint (Jokic), and Marcus Smart is back (tougher on Murray). MPJ with 34, 21, 45, 33 in four games earlier this season without Gordon (although they were also without Murray). But after a bit of a rut, he’s put together two solid games in a row.

K.Caldwell-Pope o14.5 Pts+450

0.35u

K.Caldwell-Pope o9.5 Pts-115

1.3u

Gets a matchup against the Grizzlies tomorrow who allow the third most 3s per game. KCP can thrive from the perimeter but also has no issue attacking the rim, especially when Gordon (dog bite) is off the floor. Over the last two seasons, KCP has played 15 games without Gordon. In those games he has 10+ points in 12/15 and is averaging 12.9 ppg. While Braun and Strawther are more natural replacements for the Gordon minutes, KCP sees the Usage uptick. I don’t hate a sprinkle of 15+ (+450 FD) a number he’s hit in 6/15 but 2/4 this season.

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Featured Insight
The Nuggets are 13-2 (.867) when they win the turnover margin this season -- 2nd-best in the NBA; the Grizzlies have averaged 15.1 turnovers per game this season -- T-6th-highest in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Nuggets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nuggets are 1-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nuggets are 2-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Nuggets' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	5-8-1	3-4-1	2-4	2-7-1	3-1
Grizzlies	10-5-1	6-3	4-2-1	6-4-1	4-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nuggets	10-4	6-2	4-2	7-3	3-1
Grizzlies	11-5	6-3	5-2	7-4	4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nuggets	8-6	N/A	N/A	6-4	2-2
Grizzlies	9-7	N/A	N/A	7-4	2-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 25th	GSW	W 120-114	-7.5 L	U 235.5	DEN -310
Dec 24th	@CHA	W 102-95	-11 L	U 224.5	DEN -575
Dec 23rd	@BKN	W 122-117	-4.5 W	O 231.5	DEN -199
Dec 21st	@TOR	W 113-104	-3.5 W	U 229	DEN -168
Dec 19th	DAL	W 130-104	-8.5 W	U 239.5	DEN -340

Aaron Gordon
SF
Gordon is out with calf
Out
Vlatko Cancar
SF
Cancar is out with knee
Out

Marcus Smart
PG
Smart is questionable with illness
Questionable
Ja Morant
PG
Morant is out with hip
Out
John Konchar
PF
Konchar is questionable with illness
Questionable
Vince Williams
PF
Williams is out with ankle
Out
GG Jackson
SF
Jackson is out with foot
Out
Zach Edey
C
Edey is out with ankle
Out

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scoring
Nikola Jokic
26
ppg
rebounding
Nikola Jokic
14
rpg
assists
Nikola Jokic
10
apg
shooting
Nikola Jokic
100
fg%

Grizzlies

Nuggets

37-87 (43%)

Field Goals

55-96 (57%)

18-25 (72%)

Free Throws

12-14 (86%)

13-35 (37%)

20-41 (49%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

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MatchupOverUnder
Grizzlies 9-7	o106.5-120	u106.5-110
Nuggets 8-6	o116.5-105	u116.5-115

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - December 29, 2023

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