Grizzlies vs. Rockets Odds & Betting Predictions - December 14, 2023

Low ass fucking total man - if i’m burned im burned

Discussed this with @MattyChucks on @CashThatPodcast Jabari Smith has had a couple rough games in a row but this is a bounce back spot against the Memphis Grizzlies. Jabari presents a number of specific difficulties for the Grizzlies including his size and ability to stretch the floor with the 3 point shot - this sets up for a tougher game for Alperen Sengun and a Usage uptick for Jabari. In Five matchups against the Grizzlies, Jabari has exceed this in three games, but most importantly, they are the three most recent considering he struggled out of the gate in his rookie season. In each of the overs he made 2+ 3s, and while over 1.5 3s is a look, I prefer to remove a bit of the shooting variance considering he only takes 4.4 attempts per game. I'm comfortable taking this at ESPN (+100) and prefer it a touch to the 11.5 (-130) that is in the market. That's a 6.52% implied probability change for just the one point. 📊 @propsdotcash