Kings vs. Magic Odds & Betting Predictions - March 23, 2024

Kings at Magic

11:00 pm • BSFL

Sacramento Kings

28-28

109

109 - 107

Orlando Magic

29-30

107

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Kings 28-28	+3-111	o219-111	+120
Magic 29-30	-3-109	u219-109	-142

Saturday 11:00 p.m.

March 23, 2024

Kia CenterOrlando

Over 218.5 (Live)-115

1.15u

D.Sabonis u18.5 Pts-115

1.15u

Sabonis is averaging 19.6 PPG in the 13 games since the All Star Break playing with Fox. This data also includes a 31 PT outlier vs. SAS without Wemby (we went 1.5u on), and without goes down to 18.6 PPG. He last met against the Magic back in Jan 3rd where he scored 22 points, but the game went into double OT and Wendell Carter Jr (the team’s best PnR roll man defender) & Jonathan Isaac were both inactive. As of the L10 games, the Magic have been a defensive juggernaut, especially in the interior, holding opposing teams to the 2nd fewest PPG, 5th fewest points in the paint, & 5th lowest eFG% at the restricted area. They are also top-15 in preventing free throws & most recent F/C like Bam Adebayo, Chet Holmgren, Myles Turner, & Jalen Duren all under 15 points. #PlayerProps

ORL -2.5-110

1.1u

M.Monk o21.5 Pts+Ast-115

ORL -3-110

W.Carter o2.5 Ast+230

0.25u

Assist milestones: 3+

W.Carter o1.5 Ast-130

0.75u

Carter is over this number in 7 straight games, racking up 2/2/2/3/3/3/4 assists over his last 7. In his last three matchups against the Kings, Carter has 6/3/3 assists, so I like him to keep it rolling.

ORL -3.5-108

Under 216.5-105

0.95u

D.Fox u35.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

Featured Insight
The Kings have forced 14.2 turnovers per game on the road this season -- 7th-highest in the NBA; the Magic have averaged 15.3 turnovers/game at home this season -- T-highest in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Magic have allowed a TS% of 48% in close and late situations this season -- 5th-best in the NBA; the Kings has a TS% of 48% in close and late situations this season -- 6th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Magic are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Magic are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Magic are 11-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Magic' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Magic' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Magic	29-30	18-11	11-19	20-14	9-15
Kings	19-33-4	8-17-3	11-16-1	14-23-4	5-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Magic	22-37	10-19	12-18	11-23	11-13
Kings	31-24-1	16-11-1	15-13	20-20-1	11-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Magic	29-30	N/A	N/A	24-10	5-19
Kings	28-28	N/A	N/A	23-18	5-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 21st	NOP	W 121-106	+3 W	O 208	ORL +120
Mar 19th	CHA	W 112-92	-13 W	U 204	ORL -874
Mar 17th	TOR	W 111-96	-11 W	U 219	ORL -650
Mar 15th	@TOR	W 113-103	-7.5 W	U 218.5	ORL -310
Mar 13th	BKN	W 114-106	-6 W	O 205	ORL -240