Raptors vs. Pistons Odds & Betting Predictions - December 30, 2023

Raptors at Pistons

11:00 pm • BSDET

Toronto Raptors

18-39

127

127 - 129

Detroit Pistons

32-26

129

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Raptors 18-39	-4	-4-110	o233-110	-168
Pistons 32-26	u231.5	+4-110	u233-110	+140

Saturday 11:00 p.m.

December 30, 2023

Little Caesars ArenaDetroit

Under 230.5-110

Detroit over in L3 - Stinky diaper offense

DET +150

1.5u

Tail or fade as you please, but I bet based on data and not emotions. Despite their 28 game losing streak, Pistons have noticeably looked stronger and more complete their last five games ever since getting back Jalen Duren. They now have rim protection (which will be needed against Scottie and Siakam drives), and defensive rating has moved up 8 spots. As a squad, despite their meltdowns, they’ve been able to keep every game competitive from start to finish recently. Raptors are coming off a grueling defeat last night vs. BOS where starters had to play full minutes. And they just lost OG Anunoby (better for Bojan/Cade), Achiuwa, & Flynn off the bench. Pistons on the other hand, have played 6 of their L8 games on the road, come home tonight, then go on another four game route trip. It’s a clear now or never bet.

TOR -3-110

B.Bogdanovic o19.5 Pts-115

1.15u

C.Cunningham o37.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-114

J.Duren o24.5 Pts+Rebs-104

0.34u

Good look @PropBetGuy

J.Duren o24.5 Pts+Rebs-104

Also over in 9/12 games of 28+ mins. Averaging 24 P+R in 30 mins - I just don’t think the line is reflective of the minutes he’s getting tonight. I have him at 34 (with upside for more, based on foul trouble - but TOR draws the fewest fouls per game). 34 mins in an average matchup would have him at 27.

J.Duren o11.5 Rebs-115

Over in 9/12 games he’s played just 28+ mins - all three misses at 11. Back from injury, Monty has immediately played him big minutes, realizing they need him on the floor. No Stewart, and Bagley/Wiseman have been bad.

J.Duren Double-Double (Yes)+130

1.3u

DET +176

0.44u

I will just keep doing this

DET +164

$82.00

J.Duren o10.5 Rebs-125

0.8u

DET +4.5-110

0.91u

Featured Insight
The Raptors have forced 16.3 turnovers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season -- 2nd-highest in the NBA; the Pistons have averaged 15.4 turnovers/game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season -- 4th-highest in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Pistons are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Pistons are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pistons are 19-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pistons' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Pistons' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pistons	32-25-1	13-15	19-10-1	11-10	21-14-1
Raptors	33-22-2	18-12-1	15-10-1	3-3	29-19-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pistons	29-28-1	14-14	15-14-1	9-12	19-16-1
Raptors	30-27	19-12	11-15	2-4	28-22

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pistons	32-26	N/A	N/A	16-5	16-20
Raptors	18-39	N/A	N/A	3-3	14-36

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 29th	@BOS	L 122-128	+17 W	O 234	BOS +800
Dec 27th	BKN	L 112-118	+6.5 W	O 228.5	BKN +210
Dec 24th	@BKN	L 115-126	+9.5 L	O 231	BKN +350
Dec 22nd	UTA	L 111-119	-2 L	U 235.5	UTA -134
Dec 19th	@ATL	L 124-130	+11.5 W	O 246.5	ATL +440