Wizards vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - March 16, 2025

Denver on a back-to-back is key here—legs will be tired, and Washington has quietly played better lately. Wizards have hit 115.8 PPG over their last five, showing improved offense. Denver’s defense slipping—allowed 127.2 PPG in that span. Washington’s rebounding edge (48.3 RPG vs. DEN’s 42.5 RPG) helps keep this within reach. Denver's offense is elite at home (122.8 PPG, 50.6 FG%), but they’ve struggled covering big spreads. They’re just 2-6 ATS on 3+ days of rest, meaning fatigue could play a role here. Washington covered +11.5 in their last meeting and won outright. Nuggets also shaky against Southeast teams (8-3 ATS last 11), meaning Wizards can keep this competitive. Washington’s bench has stepped up—getting 40.5 PPG, compared to Denver’s 26.7. Poole (39 pts in last meeting) will be key. Denver’s 3P% defense (36.4%) isn’t elite, so if Washington hits their shots, they stay in it. Jokic will dominate, but +13 is too many.