The NBA regular season is back in action with an excellent slate of games this Monday, with a total of 10 matchups on the docket scheduled for today. So, our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified NBA picks for six of today's contests.
Continue below for our NBA picks, odds, props, and predictions for Monday, February 9.
NBA Picks, Predictions, Props for Monday, February 9
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 7:30 p.m. | |
  | 7:30 p.m. | |
  | 9 p.m. | |
  | 8 p.m. | |
  | 10 p.m. | |
  | 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Bucks vs. Magic
By Matt Moore
The Magic just aren’t good as favorites. They are 14-22 this season as a favorite, and 9-14 against teams with a win percentage above 35 percent.
But the real trick? Orlando is flat-out terrible against bad ATS teams.
This season, when facing opponents that have an ATS margin below league-average, Orlando is 6-14 ATS (30%). They do not cover against teams that don’t cover, and the Bucks don’t cover.
Orlando barely got past the Jazz, who quite literally started pulling all their good players in a panic because they were leading — that’s how much they want to tank.
The Bucks are not tanking. They want to win, they want to compete, they want to show Giannis Antetokounmpo they are not completely lost.
If they were tanking, this would be a stay-away, because Orlando just can’t be trusted to cover as a favorite. But Milwaukee is not tanking.
Ryan Rollins can get downhill, and Milwaukee still has a number of good shooters.
The Bucks are still 3rd in eFG% this season. The one thing they can do is shoot. They just can’t rebound. Or stop turning the ball over. Or draw free throws. Or generate shots at the rim.
But they can shoot. The Magic are 4-11 ATS this season against top-10 eFG% teams.
This is the time of year when you don’t get to take the sneaky good teams that the market is late on; that time is past. It’s time to go dumpster diving, and man, the Bucks stink. But they are the side to bet here.
Pick: Bucks +10.5 (-110)
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Bulls vs. Nets
By Joe Dellera
The Bulls are dealing with roster uncertainty — players in and out, trades, shifting roles — and they have added several ball-dominant, high-usage guards who are still trying to establish themselves.
With players like Anfernee Simons, Collin Sexton, Jaden Ivey, and others focused on creating their own offense, it isn't a priority for the Bulls to get Okoro more touches.
He isn't a self-creator; Okoro needs help from others to generate looks.
Rebounding doesn’t offer much support either. Okoro is not a strong rebounder, which is why I like the under on the combo prop including boards.
There are also game script concerns. In competitive games, we’ve seen Okoro lose minutes late. He’s not a primary beneficiary of extended run in blowouts either.
Pick: Isaac Okoro Under 13.5 Points & Rebounds (-115)
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Cavaliers vs. Nuggets
By Matt Moore
This is a nightmare matchup for the Nuggets.
The Cavaliers have won the last three games against Denver with Donovan Mitchell.
There’s just too much space for the Nuggets to cover, and the Cavaliers have a great lob threat with Jarrett Allen.
Nikola Jokic can’t defend the lob because he doesn’t jump.
So, he’s going to drop mid-way on Donovan Mitchell and James Harden, and that means the Nuggets have to crash from the low-man spot on the rolling Jarrett Allen, which opens up the corner three.
Denver gives up the third-most corner threes in the league.
The problem is that with Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson out, this means Jamal Murray, Jalen Pickett, Bruce Brown, or Julian Strawther trying to crash, they will both give up the lob and get stuck trying to recover.
That’s on top of Harden and Mitchell just rattling floaters in over and over.
Defensively, Denver is a wagon, still, even with their injuries, but Cleveland has great rim protection and better balance.
Joker will get his, but the defense is simply too bad without Gordon.
Pick: Cavaliers +1 (-110)
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Hawks vs. Timberwolves
Action PRO is projecting 9.7 points for Donte DiVincenzo in tonight's matchup against the Hawks, showing a 28.3% edge on under at his current points prop line of over/under 12.5.
DiVincenzo has scored 11 points or less in five of his last seven games.
More importantly, his minutes and usage have taken a hit since the trade deadline, as he's played 26 minutes or less in three of his last five games despite averaging over 31 minutes per game on the season.
He has also taken nine shots or less in three of those five games, compared to his season-average of 10.6 field goal attempts per game on the season.
DiVincenzo draws a favorable matchup against a Hawks team that ranks 2nd in pace in this spot. However, all signs point to him staying under this number tonight.
Pick: Donte DiVincenzo Under 12.5 Points (-115)
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Thunder vs. Lakers
By Matt Moore
Nothing like kicking off your week by betting the Lakers without Luka Doncic against the best team in the league.
But here’s the reality: the Thunder need Shai Gilgeous-Alexander more than last year. They are 1-3 ATS so far without Shai in 2026, with the one cover coming against the notoriously tanking Jazz.
The Lakers, meanwhile, are 5-4 ATS without Luka Doncic, and 4-3 when Austin Reaves played when Luka’s out (2-1 ATS with Reaves and LeBron, no Luka).
The Thunder simply can’t generate offense without Shai, and the Lakers’ offense has such an impossibly high floor with either of Reaves or Doncic available.
Jalen Williams is back for OKC, but he’s struggled a lot this season and just hasn’t been healthy. Without Shai and Ajay Mitchell, they still don’t have a primary pick-and-roll offensive weapon outside of Cason Wallace.
The concern is the turnover rate; the Thunder are 59% ATS the last two seasons against teams with an above-average turnover rate. They rip the ball from you and score.
The Thunder game against Houston is actually a warning sign here.
On the one hand, they hung with Houston the entire game despite the injuries because they’re tough. On the other hand, they lost, and Houston pulled away despite a world of chemistry issues, their primary identity (offensive rebounding) going away with the Steven Adams injury, and the fact they were missing Amen Thompson.
Should the Thunder be favored by more than a possession against any playoff team on the road, without Shai? My answer is no.
Austin Reaves will create enough offense, LeBron will attack, the Lakers’ forwards and bigs will get some offensive rebounds, and the Lakers will hang within the number.
Pick: Lakers +6.5 (-110)
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Grizzlies vs. Warriors
By Bet Labs
The NBA system titled "Bet Struggling Favorites" identifies value in conference games where favorites are struggling but still favored by the market.
When a team has recently underperformed yet remains favored, it suggests the betting line reflects long term strength rather than short term results.
These situations often create buying opportunities on quality teams that are due for positive regression after a rough stretch.
Facing familiar conference opponents adds familiarity and stability to performance expectations, while moderate spreads and balanced totals keep volatility in check.
This approach capitalizes on the overreaction to recent form, betting on strong teams to rebound once market sentiment has dipped too far against them.
Pick: Warriors -6.5 (-115)
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