Nick Giffen

Role

Predictive Analyst

Experience

10 years

Total Bets

3.4K

Followers

177K

Nick Giffen's Picks

Today

Pending

J.Allen u6.5 Rush Att+105

BUF

09/28 5:00 PM

Josh Allen under 6.5 rush att MGM/365 NO 5th worst pressure rate vs. expected so far in 2025 and 5th worst raw pressure rate Josh Allen scramble rate has decreased by more than 10% with a clean pocket than facing pressure since the start of last year The Saints also play zone at a top-six rate in the NFL, including Cover 3 at the third-highest rate which is the hardest to scramble against with an extra man in the box and zone coverage with the DBs facing the QB As huge faves, likely won’t be asked to do much designed w/legs Might get a couple kneel downs, but with a strong chance of a blowout, it would be Trubisky taking the knees in that scenario. Since start of last year: Trubisky has taken all the 2H kneels in double-digit BUF wins Allen has taken all the 2H knees in single-digit BUF wins Trubisky with 18 2H kneels across 8 games, Allen with 12 2H kneels across 6 games

Alex Bowman Top 10+140

Hollywood Casino 400 Presented by ESPN Bet

NASCAR Cup Series Championship: C. Bell to Win Title+800

0.25u

#RunningHot adding more to the title position on Bell

K. Larson over 4.5 wins-135

1.35u

#RunningHot victory lane pick

Front Row Motorsports under 0.5 wins+115

#RunningHot

NASCAR Cup Series Championship: C. Bell to Win Title+650

Also available at ESPN BET

Lowest Scoring Team (Regular Season): NY Jets+900

3rd lowest Expected Score last year 4th largest O-line downgrade (-$30m AAV per 4for4) Jets opposing D's spent most $ of all 32 schedules Fields/Tyrod not upgrades/likely downgrades & will run more w/Fields eating clock 5th unluckiest set of opponents from last year (opponents regression to better results) Tankapalooza

Futures

Past Performance
Yesterday	0-0-0	0%	0.00u
Last 7 Days	16-26-0	38%	8.10u
Last 30 Days	38-98-0	28%	11.22u
All Time	1125-2277-19	33%	278.75u

Top Leagues
NCAAB	419-344-8	54%	102.60u
NFL	388-619-8	38%	92.68u
NASCAR	249-1161-2	18%	62.57u
NHL	3-1-0	75%	3.57u
World Cup	13-26-0	33%	1.18u
FORMULA_ONE	0-1-0	0%	-0.50u
NASCAR_XFINITY	0-1-0	0%	-0.50u
Women's World Cup	1-4-0	20%	-0.95u
MLB	2-4-0	33%	-1.71u
European Championship	17-49-1	25%	-3.47u

Summary

Nick Giffen is a predictive analyst at Action Network and is the creator of the NFL Luck Rankings. He also hosts Bet What Happens Live! on Action Network’s YouTube channel during the NFL season, and co-hosts Running Hot, Action’s auto racing podcast.

Aside from the NFL, Nick uses his projection models to specialize in NASCAR betting and DFS, NCAA basketball player props, and projections for top soccer tournaments.

Experience

After getting his Ph.D. in mathematics, Nick worked in the biotechnology industry as a data analyst, working with large data sets to optimize corn to ethanol production. During that time, he also wrote about fantasy football and fantasy NASCAR for RotoViz.

In 2016, he became a co-owner of RotoViz. Since then, Giffen has worked as a freelancer with FantasyLabs and the Action Network, before being hired as a full-time predictive analyst at Action in early 2022.

At Action, Giffen has developed in-game player prop models to live bet the NFL, which he uses on his show, Bet What Happens Live! He also pioneered Action's Luck Rankings, which have been used to bet NFL sides and totals successfully.

Giffen frequently appears on several of Action's shows to talk NFL and college basketball, and he is a co-host of Running Hot, Action's motorsports betting podcast.

Education

Giffen graduated from James Madison University with a B.S. in Applied Mathematics. He earned a Ph.D. in Mathematics from N.C. State.

On Social

Betting Highlights

Favorite Bet of All-Time

I bet on my favorite driver Kyle Kirkwood at 20-1 to win the Long Beach Grand Prix. I went to the race and watched him win it in person for his first career IndyCar win. It was the first time I watched him race an IndyCar in person, so I'm officially his good luck charm.

Specialties

NASCAR Expert
NFL Luck Rankings
NCAAB Player Props