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Sky vs. Mercury Odds & Betting Predictions - May 28, 2025

Sky at Mercury

2:00 am • The U

Chicago Sky

5-11
89
89 - 94

Phoenix Mercury

12-5
94

Sky at Mercury Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Sky
5-11
+6.5
+7.5-110
o159-110
+260
Mercury
12-5
u155.5
-7.5-110
u159-110
-320
location pinWednesday 2:00 a.m.
May 28, 2025
PHX ArenaPhoenix
Sky vs. Mercury Expert Picks
Daniel Mataya
Daniel Mataya
Last 30d: 26-22-0 (+26.7u)
PHX -1.5 (Live)+100
1.5u
Have to believe regression is coming and sky don’t know how to play with a lead.
VegasIsMyBitch
VegasIsMyBitch
Last 30d: 22-14-1 (+6.9u)
Over 159-110
0.91u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 12-16-0 (-5.9u)
Under 159.5-110
1.1u
The Sky have the 2nd worst offense in my schedule-adjusted ratings — and while their brutal schedule (toughest in the league) means some improvement is likely, this doesn’t feel like the right spot for it. That’s because Phoenix currently ranks No. 1 in schedule-adjusted defensive rating, making this a tough matchup for a struggling Sky offense to get back on track. Chicago also ranks dead last in raw defensive rating (114.5), but when adjusting for opponent quality and pace — they’ve faced the fastest and highest-scoring teams — the adjusted rating isn’t quite as bleak. I’m projecting this total closer to 156.5.
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 70-59-0 (+35.8u)
CHI +8-118
2.54u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 44-73-0 (-6.3u)
PHX o82.5 Team Total-110
0.1u
Daniel Mataya
Daniel Mataya
Last 30d: 26-22-0 (+26.7u)
PHX -7-110
1.1u
Buckets.
Jim Turvey
Jim Turvey
Last 30d: 47-57-0 (-8.2u)
PHX -7-110
0.75u
Buckets WNBA bets bets incoming (including some futures 👀)

Sky vs. Mercury Previews & Analysis

  • Koerner's WNBA Best Bets article feature image

    Koerner's WNBA Best Bets

    Sean Koerner•
    May 27, 2025 UTC
  • Sky vs Mercury WNBA Odds, Picks article feature image

    Sky vs Mercury WNBA Odds, Picks

    Jim Turvey•
    May 27, 2025 UTC
See more WNBA Coverage Right Arrow

Prop Odds Comparison

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No props found

Line Movement Tracker

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Sky vs. Mercury Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Sky

Public

Home Logo

Mercury

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

WNBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Mercury are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
  • Mercury are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Mercury are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Mercury' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Mercury' 10 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mercury		10-76-44-36-44-3
Sky		8-82-46-4N/A8-8

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mercury		9-7-16-43-3-17-32-4-1
Sky		10-64-26-4N/A10-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mercury		12-5N/AN/A9-13-4
Sky		5-11N/AN/AN/A5-11

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 25thWSHW 68-62-5.5 WU 163PHX -250
May 24th@SEAL 70-77+6 LU 157.5SEA +205
May 22ndLAW 89-86-5 LO 160PHX -215
May 18thSEAW 81-59+6 WU 158.5PHX +220
May 11thGSL 79-84-7.5 LU 165GS -345

Sky vs. Mercury Injury Updates

Sky Injuries

  • Courtney Vandersloot
    G

    Vandersloot is out with knee

    Out

Mercury Injuries

  • Alexa Held
    G

    Held is out with chest

    Out

See more WNBA Injuries Right Arrow
Team Stats

33-71 (46%)
Field Goals
33-78 (42%)
17-20 (85%)
Free Throws
12-19 (63%)
6-21 (29%)
3P
16-40 (40%)
42
Rebounds
30
25
Assists
25
Turnovers
6
Steals
11
5
Blocks
7
21
Fouls
18

Sky vs. Mercury Odds Comparison

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Sky at Mercury Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Sky
5-11
o75.5-120
u75.5-110
Mercury
12-5
o83.5-110
u83.5-120