Texans vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - January 18, 2025
Texans at Chiefs
9:30 pm • ABC/ESPNTexans at Chiefs Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texans 1-1 | +7.5 | +9.5-110 | o41.5-110 | +410 |
 Chiefs 2-1 | u43 | -9.5-110 | u41.5-108 | -550 |
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Texans vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Gamblers Dream
Last 30d: 2-6-0 (+5.1u)
HOU +11.5 (Live)-130
2.31u
Premium “ double dip “
JB Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Schultz o34.5 Rec Yds (Live)-138
0.72u
VIP CASH! USE CODE 2025 FOR 50% OFF
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes (Live)+155
1.55u
VIP CASH🔥
Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -3.5 (Live)-115
2.41u
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -3.5 (Live)+100
3u
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 121-110-1 (+13.6u)
KC o22.5 Team Total (Live)-115
0.87u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 32-53-0 (-28.0u)
D.Hopkins o29.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
1.1u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
HOU +10.5 (Live)-115
0.17u
Live alert
Proptology _
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Kelce o18.5 Longest Reception-102
1u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 32-53-0 (-28.0u)
D.Schultz o36.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+150
1.5u
RocketPlays
Last 30d: 16-15-0 (+5.1u)
C.Stroud o15.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 24-12-0 (+10.1u)
KC -9-110
1.1u
Kyle Just Bets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
X.Worthy o4.5 Recs-140
0.71u
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 61-74-2 (-10.7u)
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+190
0.5u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 24-21-4 (-3.5u)
KC -9-105
2u
PvB Bets
Last 30d: 7-2-0 (+3.8u)
C.Stroud o13.5 Rush Yds-109
0.92u
CJ Stroud ⬆️ 13.5 Rush Yards (-109 @ BetRivers)
THE BLITZ 📽️: 18.83 RushY
Rolling with 2 Stroud props for game one. Stroud is more when he wants to be. We just saw him rush for 42 yards on 6 carries vs this Chargers team. Especially later in games, he is willing to take off.
KC is allowing the 7th most rushing yards per game to opposing QBs, which you have to take with a grain of salt. Ultimately, this is a team that creates good pressure which can force QB's up in the pocket and open up rushing lanes.
Stroud has cleared this line in his only game vs KC as well. With Stroud really struggling at times with him arm, I'm expecting him to take yardage with his legs when he can.
Simon Hunter
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.7u)
Under 41.5-109
0.92u
KC -8.5-115
0.87u
Under 20.5 (2H)-129
0.78u
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 1-6-0 (-1.3u)
KC -8.5-111
2u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -5.5 (1H)-120
0.42u
FanDuel
KC -8.5-112
0.45u
FanDuel #Tailing
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 56-50-1 (+2.1u)
Under 41.5-119
1u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 32-53-0 (-28.0u)
KC -8.5-111
1u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 4-9-0 (-9.7u)
J.Metchie o34.5 Rec Yds-117
2u
Over 41.5-108
2.16u
J.Metchie Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550
1u
C.Stroud o223.5 Pass Yds-110
2.5u
N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+185
1.5u
R B
Last 30d: 20-31-0 (-4.8u)
HOU +9-110
2.2u
The Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Mixon Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
1.2u
@nick_giffen
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
1u
@GDAWG5000 and @TheBMatt
C.Stroud Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1400
0.25u
@nick_giffen
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 2-4-0 (-2.2u)
J.Mixon u15.5 Rush Att+102
1u
Convince Me
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
K.Hunt u10.5 Longest Rush-105
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
Under 20.5 (2H)-125
0.8u
@SimonHunterNFL
C.Stroud u227.5 Pass Yds-110
1u
@ChrisRaybon
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 2-4-0 (-2.2u)
P.Mahomes u25.5 Rush Yds-110
0.91u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 14-58-0 (+1.6u)
J.Mixon Anytime TD Scorer Yes+140
1.05u
C.Stroud Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1200
0.25u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 32-53-0 (-28.0u)
KC -8.5-110
1u
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 41-64-0 (-22.3u)
A.Al-Shaair o7.5 Tackles + Ast-120
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 84-67-0 (+1.0u)
Under 42-112
0.89u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 14-11-1 (+1.2u)
Over 41.5-110
1.1u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 51-35-1 (+3.0u)
K.Hunt u10.5 Longest Rush-105
0.53u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 32-7-0 (+18.5u)
C.Stroud u225.5 Pass Yds-110
1u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 13-16-0 (+8.1u)
K.Hunt u10.5 Longest Rush-105
0.53u
#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 11-16-0 (-6.3u)
K.Hunt u10.5 Longest Rush-105
1.05u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 81-88-2 (-2.5u)
J.Mixon Anytime TD Scorer Yes+145
1.45u
Player Props
Last 30d: 9-12-0 (-2.6u)
D.Schultz o38.5 Rec Yds-110
0.91u
Sunday Six Pack
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Schultz o3.5 Recs-110
1u
Raybon 1
The Favorites Podcast
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -8.5-110
1u
Foxhole
PvB Bets
Last 30d: 7-2-0 (+3.8u)
C.Stroud o0.5 Int-140
1u
C.J. Stroud ⬆️ 0.5 INT (-140 @ FanDuel)
THE BLITZ 📽️: 0.8 INT
This is worth a play on +EV alone. Here is where this under is at on other books:
DK: -160
MGM: -185
Caesars: -174
BR: -175
Pinnacle: -169
Stroud finished the regular season with 3 INT's in his final 3 games and threw one last week in the wild card round. He should have thrown 2, but one was called back.
KC has forced 13 INT's this season and in what will likely be a negative game script for Stroud, he might find himself forcing the ball later in the game. In a game vs KC earlier this season, he threw a pair of INT's.
I don't love HOU's chances of grabbing a lead in this one and Stroud just hasn't been the same guy this season.
Austin Pendergrass
Last 30d: 61-74-2 (-10.7u)
X.Worthy o4.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
X.Worthy 5+ Receptions Yes-152
0.66u
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 3-0-0 (+1.2u)
D.Schultz o3.5 Recs-140
0.29u
Boyd
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 32-53-0 (-28.0u)
X.Worthy o52.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Freddie
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 81-88-2 (-2.5u)
HOU +6 (1H)-104
1.04u
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 64-55-1 (+33.5u)
Under 41.5-105
2.86u
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 32-53-0 (-28.0u)
Over 41.5-111
1.11u
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
P.Mahomes o1.5 Pass TDs-165
1.65u
D.Schultz o39 Rec Yds-115
1u
X.Worthy o52.5 Rec Yds-113
1.13u
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+205
1u
P.Mahomes o250.5 Pass Yds-113
1.13u
The Propfessor
Last 30d: 29-38-0 (+1.2u)
C.Stroud o14.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 164-145-4 (+13.8u)
Under 41.5-108
0.5u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 4-15-0 (-5.8u)
HOU +8.5-110
1u
Over 41.5-110
1u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 26-56-1 (+14.2u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
1.6u
TAN pod / best bets — Travis Kelce legacy escalator
T.Kelce 70+ Receiving Yards Yes+235
1.18u
TAN pod / best bets — Travis Kelce legacy escalator
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 33-51-3 (+2.6u)
D.Hopkins o28.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
MGM
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 22-25-1 (-3.1u)
X.Worthy o49.5 Rec Yds-122
1.5u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 26-56-1 (+14.2u)
X.Worthy o74.5 Rush + Rec Yds+190
0.25u
TAN pod / best bets — Worthy escalator
X.Worthy o4.5 Recs-136
0.37u
TAN pod / best bets — Worthy escalator
X.Worthy 6+ Receptions Yes+152
0.5u
TAN pod / best bets — Worthy escalator
X.Worthy 7+ Receptions Yes+280
0.25u
TAN pod / best bets — Worthy escalator
X.Worthy 8+ Receptions Yes+525
0.15u
TAN pod / best bets — Worthy escalator
HOU +8.5-108
1u
TAN pod / best bets
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 13-16-0 (+8.1u)
C.Stroud Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1300
0.3u
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -7.5-110
0.45u
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 32-7-0 (+18.5u)
R.Woods u2.5 Recs-152
1u
DNP (hip) all 3 days so probably gets ruled out, but worth hammering in case he's up. Only 3 came w/ Metchie also out, Dell hurt in-game. Under 2.5 in 15-of-16, including last 3g w/o Dell, in which he was WR4 in routes behind Nico/Metchie/Hutch each time. KC D top-5 man coverage rate, Woods 1 yard on 50 routes vs man (0.02 YPRR).
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 175-142-4 (+5.0u)
P.Mahomes o1.5 Pass TDs-144
0.9u
5.41% ev bet to -165
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 13-16-0 (+8.1u)
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
1u
@ChrisRaybon likes it. I like it. Easy choice.
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 22-93-7 (+1.2u)
C.Stroud o33.5 Pass Att-128
1.28u
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 22-25-1 (-3.1u)
KC -4.5 (1H)-115
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 175-142-4 (+5.0u)
T.Kelce u5.5 Recs+123
0.6u
6.55% ev bet to +109
Chris Raybon
Last 30d: 32-7-0 (+18.5u)
D.Schultz o3.5 Recs-125
0.8u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Schultz o3.5 Recs-130
0.15u
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -8.5-109
2.75u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 13-16-0 (+8.1u)
J.Mixon Anytime TD Scorer Yes+145
1.45u
JC Cornell
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
KC -8.5-110
2.73u
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Schultz o34.5 Rec Yds-110
0.18u
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 18-35-0 (-6.1u)
Over 41.5-112
1u
Have this at 45.3. Texans set up well for unders, but the Chiefs' offense was very efficient down the stretch, especially after Marquise Brown returned.
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 22-25-1 (-3.1u)
I.Pacheco o37.5 Rush Yds-114
1.5u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 78-73-2 (+4.4u)
Under 41.5+100
1u
Read full writeup: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 121-110-1 (+13.6u)
D.Schultz o31.5 Rec Yds-115
0.87u
Brian Matthews
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.1u)
X.Worthy o4.5 Recs-120
1u
Over in 5 straight not including week 18 when they rested starters. 7 receptions against the Texans in week 16.
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 42.5-110
1u
Double digit winds, possible snow. Both KC and Houston Top 8 defensive DVOA. Houston 26th in tempo and one of the highest FG/TD rates. KC averages 29 seconds per play with a one possession lead. 6 possessions of at least 10 plays ended in 4 TD and 2 FGs on Dec 21
Texans vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis
Texans vs. Chiefs Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Texans vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Chiefs are 2-1 in their last 5 games.
- Chiefs are 1-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Chiefs are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Chiefs' last 3 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Chiefs' 2 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Chiefs vs. Texans Injury Updates
Chiefs Injuries
- Mike EdwardsS
Edwards is questionable with quad
Questionable
- Skyy MooreWR
Moore is doubtful with abdomen
Doubtful
- Rashee RiceWR
Rice is out with leg
Out
- Cam JonesLB
Jones is questionable with illness
Questionable
- Jared WileyTE
Wiley is out with knee
Out
Texans Injuries
- Sheldon RankinsDT
Rankins is out with illness
Out
- Nick ChubbRB
Chubb is out with foot
Out
- Joe MixonRB
Mixon is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Christian KirkWR
Kirk is out with collarbone
Out
- E.J. SpeedLB
Speed is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Azeez Al-ShaairLB
Al-Shaair is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Damon ArnetteCB
Damon Arnette (Left Team) is out this week.
Out
- Casey ToohillDE
Toohill is questionable with ribs
Questionable
- John MetchieWR
Metchie is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
- Christian HarrisLB
Harris is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Tank DellWR
Dell is out with knee
Out
- Jamal HillLB
Hill is questionable with knee
Questionable
Team Stats
Texans vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Texans at Chiefs Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Texans 1-1 | o15.5-122 | u15.5+102 |
Chiefs 2-1 | o26.5-105 | u26.5-115 |