Astros vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2023
Astros at Guardians
10:10 pm • BSGLStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 5.06 | 0-3 | |
 |  | 3.83 | 11-6 |
Astros at Guardians Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Astros 0-0 | +1.5-178 | o8-107 | +116 | |
Guardians 1-2 | -1.5+148 | u8-112 | -138 | |
Progressive FieldCleveland
Astros vs. Guardians Expert Picks
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 54-57-0 (-7.6u)
Under 8-110
1.1u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 49-32-0 (+9.2u)
T.McKenzie u6.5 Ks-132
1u
Racked up 10 Ks in 2023 debut, but it was against the Twins, who had a laughable 64% contact rate on pitches in the zone. They rank 2nd worse in that metric while the Astros rank 3rd best. Don’t love the fact Astros have 8 RHB in the lineup but TM career K splits have been dead even against R/LHB. I also imagine he will still be limited to ~90 pitches which makes it unlikely for him to face the 6-9 hitters a 3rd time (they are by far his best chance to rack up Ks). Projecting this closer to -250
J.France o3.5 Ks-128
1u
Disappointing 7.7 K/9 to start his career as he was expected to be a 9+ K/9 type of pitcher. His main struggle has been getting hitters to chase. He��s been getting better at that lately and faces a Cle team that chases at the 2nd highest rate. France also has 3 pitches that generate a 30% whiff rate, including a filthy curve that generates a 50%+ whiff rate. Cle has a tough lineup to K, but Zunino has a 40% K chance his first PA. I’m projecting this closer to -170
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 8-110
1.1u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 19-23-1 (+0.6u)
T.McKenzie u6.5 Ks-125
0.4u
Would imagine he still operates within some sort of pitch count but it’s hard to pitch better than what he did in his debut.
Even if you cap him at 100 pitches his hit rate is just 38% on this the last two seasons, at 90 pitches it drops to 23%.
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 53-59-0 (-0.9u)
CLE -130
0.5u
Astros vs. Guardians Notes
Keys to the Game
The Guardians are just 12-10 (.545) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.
Matchup Contrasts
Jose Ramirez is slugging .475 on non-fastballs since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Ryan Pressly has thrown off-speed pitches 72% of the time since last season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 66% (25/38) against J.P. France over the last 30 days (5 games) -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% -- 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .197 (139-for-704) against Triston McKenzie since last season -- 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 89 total IP; League Avg: .245 -- 96th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Astros vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Guardians vs. Astros Injury Updates
Guardians Injuries
- Ben LivelySP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
- John MeansSP
Means is out with elbow
Out
Astros Injuries
- Pedro LeonRF
Leon is out with knee
Out
- Hayden WesneskiRP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Astros vs. Guardians Box Score
Astros Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 105 | 6.2 | 6 | 3 | |
 | 26 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 | |
 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 92 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 47 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Astros vs. Guardians Odds Comparison
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Astros at Guardians Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Astros 0-0 | N/A | N/A |
Guardians 1-2 | N/A | N/A |