Astros vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024
Astros at Padres
1:40 am • SDPAStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 2.95 | 13-9 | |
![]() | ![]() | 3.49 | 11-9 |
Astros at Padres Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Astros 0-0 | -1.5 | +1.5-205 | o7.5+101 | +101 |
![]() Padres 1-0 | u7.5 | -1.5+172 | u7.5-122 | -121 |
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PETCO ParkSan Diego
Astros vs. Padres Expert Picks
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Boomer Betz
157d ago
Last 30d: 148-105-4 (+59.1u)
SD -115 (Live)
1u
I hate the astros (yanks fan)
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Gamblers Dream
157d ago
Last 30d: 16-19-0 (+1.3u)
SD -120
1.2u
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Firefighter Bets
157d ago
Last 30d: 197-156-9 (+26.8u)
M.Machado o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
0.83u
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Cam Is Money
157d ago
Last 30d: 191-149-12 (+20.9u)
Over 7.5+100
1u
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Top Shelf Action 🥃
158d ago
Last 30d: 510-492-15 (+46.2u)
Under 7.5-120
0.83u
#ProSystem
. under for winning teams including wind direction and temps
Overall: 554-323-48,63% (ROI:21%)
Season:6-5-0,55% (ROI:4%)
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Picks Office
158d ago
Last 30d: 83-87-2 (-13.9u)
SD -115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
San Diego has been quite impressive, taking 36-15 in the last 51 games, thus proving to be in consistent form coming into this game. Playing on grass has been a strength for the Padres, where they have posted 35-16 in their last 51 games, and this further elucidates their capability to fire under such conditions. The Padres have fared well head-to-head, the Astros but have won only four of the last 13 meetings between the two clubs, a fact that gives reason to believe San Diego is well-placed for victory here.
The San Diego bullpen continues to be a big strong point. They've threatened with a very solid 2.67 ERA, compared to Houston's bullpen ERA of 3.11, which is a notable advantage. Recent form is, in fact, even better for the bullpen of the Padres, carrying an ultra-low 0.68 WHIP over their last three games compared to Houston's 0.99, signaling tighter control and fewer baserunners allowed in critical situations. Starting pitching favored the Padres, too, with their recent ERA of 2.43 significantly outshining Houston's 4.26, reflecting better performance from the mound across the board.
Offensively, too, the Padres will have an advantage. They score more runs per game, averaging 5.16 to Houston's 4.75, with a higher slugging percentage at .420 compared to their opponents' .418. That alone in run production could make all the difference in a game that may be decided with offensive explosions. Furthermore, the starters for San Diego have done a better job in downtown opponents' batting average at .222, while Houston allows .230. This hit-prevention difference, over the course of a full game, can add up.
For Houston, a problem comes in the form of recent Hunter Brown, who is coming off an outing against San Diego with 6 earned runs in 4.1 innings on September 8th, turning into a blowout 11-2 loss. His last start against Oakland wasn't much better, as he let in 5 earned runs over 5 innings, continuing his inconsistent run of performances. Meanwhile, Padres' Michael King has been a beacon of consistency, having a season ERA of 3.06 and WHIP of 1.21 while being in excellent control throughout the season. He has been even better of late, with a 2.35 ERA over his last three starts. King's friendly walk rate combined with eight strikeouts in his last start is a good indicator that he's coming into this matchup at the top of his game. Also, the Padres hit right-handed pitchers well, posting a .271 batting average against righties, higher than Houston's .259. The struggles for Brown mixed with how the Padres punish right-handers could only make this mismatch fall decidedly in San Diego's favor.
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The Degenerates
158d ago
Last 30d: 76-71-4 (-4.1u)
Under 7.5-120
1u
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💰🦡 Jake
158d ago
Last 30d: 112-161-1 (-16.2u)
Over 7.5+100
1u
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Sean Zerillo
158d ago
Last 30d: 34-39-1 (-0.7u)
Over 7.5+105
0.5u
Bet to -102
PRO Insights
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Astros
HOU Insights
- Featured Insight
Astros left-handed hitters have struck out just 18% against RHP over the last week -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. Padres RPs have a strikeout rate of just 13% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- lowest in MLB.
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Astros vs. Padres Previews & Analysis
Astros vs. Padres Notes
Keys to the Game
The Padres are 15-10 (.600) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 47-34 (.580) after a win this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Matchup Contrasts
Xander Bogaerts is batting .287 since the 2022 season -- tied for 14th best among hitters with at least 709 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .279 (177-for-635) against Hunter Brown since the 2022 season -- 15th worst among starting pitchers with at least 189 total IP-- 10th Percentile.
Jeremy Pena has an OPS of just .710 since the 2022 season -- eighth worst in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Robert Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .563 (536 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Astros vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Astros vs. Padres Injury Updates
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Astros Injuries
- Lance McCullersP
McCullers is out with arm
Out
- Cristian JavierP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
- Luis GarciaP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
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Padres Injuries
Astros vs. Padres Box Score
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 95 | 6 | 3 | 2 | |
![]() | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 15 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 | |
![]() | 12 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 18 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 87 | 7 | 7 | 2 | |
![]() | 22 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
![]() | 12 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 9 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 5 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Astros vs. Padres Odds Comparison
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Astros at Padres Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Astros 0-0 | o3.5-105 | u3.5-125 |
![]() Padres 1-0 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-110 |