Blue Jays vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - April 2, 2024

Blue Jays at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

Toronto Blue Jays

21-25

0 - 10

Houston Astros

19-29

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Blanco			2.80	13-6
B.Francis			3.30	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 21-25	+1.5-166	o9-115	+128
Astros 19-29	u9	-1.5+140	u9-105	-152

Tuesday 12:10 a.m.

April 02, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

R.Blanco o4.5 Ks+120

1.2u

Stros turn it around with Blanco tonight?

TOR +126

0.5u

Over 9-115

0.87u

D.Varsho o0.5 HR+350

0.25u

D.Varsho o0.5 Total Bases-170

0.55u

Over 9-115

0.48u

HOU -135

0.37u

Need -135

HOU -140

$1.00

Y.Alvarez To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes-125

$1.25

HOU -0.5 (F5)+104

1.04u

… f5 favs runline on a losing streak Overall: 300-314-12,49% (ROI:10%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:55%)

HOU -140

0.71u

… good team last year on cold streak now favs vs good team Overall: 150-67-0,69% (ROI:21%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+320

0.31u

TOR +126

0.5u

Francis was great out of the bullpen last year, but projects above four and a half as a 28 year-old first time starter. That said, Blanco didn't have a single estimator as low as Francis's starting projeetions in 50 innings last year. Offenses and bullpens project very similarly, while the Blue Jays have a defensive edge.

Featured Insight
The Blue Jays have allowed just 1.9 runs per game while leading since the 2022 season -- second lowest in MLB (243 games). The Astros have scored just 2.0 runs per game while trailing since the 2022 season -- tied for eighth lowest in MLB (193 games).

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Featured Insight
The Astros allowed just 3.9 runs per game on the road last season -- lowest in MLB (81 games). The Blue Jays scored just 4.2 runs per game at home last season -- eighth lowest in MLB (81 games).

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Monday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 1, 2024 UTC

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The Astros were 27-19 (.587) after a road win in 2023 -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.

Daulton Varsho had an OPS of just .674 last season -- eighth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Josh Hader allowed an OPS of just .508 (231 PAs) last season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 8-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Astros' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	19-29	11-15	8-14	4-11	15-17
Blue Jays	19-27	12-12	7-15	14-15	4-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	27-18-3	16-9-1	11-9-2	9-6	17-12-3
Blue Jays	21-23-2	13-11	8-12-2	14-14-1	6-9-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	19-29	12-14	7-15	5-10	14-18
Blue Jays	21-25	13-11	8-14	16-13	4-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 31st	NYY	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	NYY -118
Mar 30th	NYY	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 9	NYY -130
Mar 30th	NYY	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 9	NYY -122
Mar 28th	NYY	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	NYY -150
Mar 24th	STL	W 9-4	+1.5 W	O 7	HOU +124

Jose Berrios
SP
Berrios is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Santander
RF
Santander is out with shoulder
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out
Addison Barger
RF
Addison Barger (elbow) scratched Sunday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Francis, P	79	5.1	7	7
LG.Cabrera, P	17	1	0	3
RT.Richards, P	12	0.2	1	0
RI.Kiner-Falefa, P	7	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	0-2	0	0	0
2V.Guerrero, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	0-3	0	0	0
3D.Schneider, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
4D.Varsho, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Kirk, C	0-3	0	0	0
6E.Clement, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7K.Kiermaier, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Biggio, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Biggio, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Blanco, P		105	9	7	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
1M.Dubon, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, DH	0-3	1	0	0
2G.Kessinger, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2G.Kessinger, DH	0-1	0	0	0
3K.Tucker, RF	2-3	2	2	4
4A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5Y.Diaz, C	2-4	2	2	2
6J.Abreu, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
7C.McCormick, LF	2-4	2	0	0
8J.Pena, SS	2-3	1	1	3
9J.Meyers, CF	2-4	0	0	1