Yankees vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - March 30, 2024

Yankees at Astros

11:15 pm • FOX

New York Yankees

0-0

5 - 3

Houston Astros

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Brown			3.49	11-9
M.Stroman			4.31	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 0-0	+1.5-179	o9-110	+110
Astros 0-0	-1.5+148	u9-110	-130

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

March 30, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

HOU -130

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

HOU -135

M.Stroman o15.5 Outs+135

1.35u

I think this one is worth a stab. He’s already built up (6IP his last ST start) and traditionally a fast starter: three straight 6IP+ performances for his first start of the season. He’s a pitch to contact/ground ball pitcher who relies more on efficiency than whiffs. The Astros swing early and often, and are a predominantly right-handed lineup, which plays into stroman’s better split.

HOU -1.5+155

0.75u

Kinda square but I think Houston figured it out

HOU -130

$130.00

POD

Under 9.5-115

0.5u

Rivers/Parx. Bet to -122 or 9 (-103)

Featured Insight
Yankees hitters had a hard-hit rate of 42% last season -- second best in MLB. Opponents had a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Astros last season -- tied for seventh worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Astros Left Handed Hitters have struck out just 11% against RHP over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Yankees have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Astros were 27-19 (.587) after a road win in 2023 -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .494.

Jeremy Pena has an OPS of just .710 since the 2022 season -- 11th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Clay Holmes has allowed an OPS of just .572 (527 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .426 (20 GB hits out of 47 GBs) against Hunter Brown with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .248 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	NYY	L 1-7	-1.5 L	U 9	NYY -122
Mar 28th	NYY	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	NYY -150
Mar 24th	STL	W 9-4	+1.5 W	O 7	HOU +124
Mar 23rd	@NYM	W 13-5	-1.5 W	O 9.5	HOU -182
Mar 21st	@STL	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 9.5	HOU -122

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RM.Stroman, P	101	6	4
RI.Hamilton, P	20	2	2
RC.Holmes, P	11	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	2-5	2	1	1
3A.Judge, DH	1-3	0	0	0
4A.Rizzo, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Verdugo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6A.Volpe, SS	2-4	1	1	1
7A.Wells, C	1-2	1	0	0
8O.Cabrera, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
9T.Grisham, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	88	4	5	0
RS.Martinez, P	11	1	0	0
LP.Mushinski, P	17	1	1	0
RB.Abreu, P	26	1	1	3
RR.Pressly, P	17	1	2	1
LJ.Hader, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, LF	0-3	0	0
3K.Tucker, RF	0-4	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0
5Y.Diaz, DH	0-3	1	0
6J.Abreu, 1B	0-3	0	0
7J.Pena, SS	0-3	1	0
8M.Dubon, CF	1-4	0	2
9V.Caratini, C	1-3	1	0