Braves vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Braves at Cardinals

5:15 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

45-22

5 - 2

St. Louis Cardinals

36-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Mikolas			4.78	9-13
B.Elder			3.81	12-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 45-22	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cardinals 36-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 5:15 p.m.

April 05, 2023

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

ATL u4.5-125

STL -121

1.21u

think this has gotten too short

M.Mikolas u4.5 Ks-115

1.15u

BetMGM: don’t be fooled by his 6 Ks and 16.2 K/9 after his opening start. His high K rate had a lot to do with it was the only way he was able to get hitters out thanks to a .714 BABIP allowed. Mikolas had a dreadful 43% first pitch strike rate and only a 9% swinging strike rate. This Braves lineup is very tough to K and I think with improved BABIP luck we will see his K rate drop quite a bit going forward. Projecting this closer to -155

STL -120

STL -130

1.3u

STL -130

1.3u

Over 9-115

1.15u

ATL +120

0.6u

Bet to +114

M.Mikolas u17.5 Outs+110

STL -130

1.3u

Under 9+102

1.02u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 5, 2023 UTC

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The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Braves are 51-12 (.810) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

The Cardinals are 50-10 (.833) when hitting 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

53% of Travis d'Arnaud strikeouts were looking over the last 30 days -- third highest in MLB-- 98th Percentile. 37% of Miles Mikolas strikeouts were looking over the last 30 days -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (10-for-20) against Miles Mikolas this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .250 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 18-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Cardinals' 35 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	39-25	21-14	18-11	7-4	32-20
Braves	41-26	18-15	23-11	33-19	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	27-33-4	17-16-2	10-17-2	4-6-1	22-27-3
Braves	33-30-4	11-20-2	22-10-2	28-21-3	5-9-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	36-28	19-16	17-12	8-3	28-24
Braves	45-22	22-11	23-11	37-15	8-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 4th	ATL	L 1-4	-	-	-
Apr 3rd	ATL	L 4-8	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	TOR	W 9-4	-	-	-
Apr 1st	TOR	W 4-1	-	-	-
Mar 30th	TOR	L 9-10	-	-	-

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	79	6	6	0
RM.Tonkin, P	17	1	1	1
LD.Lee, P	14	0.2	0	0
RC. McHugh, P	27	1	0	1
RJ.Chavez, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-5	2	0	0
2M.Olson, 1B	3-5	2	1	3
3A.Riley, 3B	2-4	1	0	1
4T.d'Arnaud, C	0-4	0	0	0
5M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	0
6O.Albies, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
7M.Ozuna, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Rosario, LF	0-4	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	98	6	6	5
P.Naughton, P	20	1	0	0
RC.Stratton, P	28	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
2A.Burleson, LF	1-3	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	0-1	0	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5N.Gorman, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Carlson, CF	1-4	1	0	0
7J.Walker, RF	2-4	1	1	2
8T.Edman, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Knizner, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.O'Neill, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.O'Neill, LF	0-1	0	0	0