Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2024

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • BSSE

Atlanta Braves

45-23

2 - 3

New York Mets

30-38

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
C.Sale			2.38	18-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 45-23	-1.5+142	o7-123	-121
Mets 30-38	+1.5-170	u7+103	+100

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

July 25, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM +100

Under 7+103

1.03u

M.Ozuna o0.5 HR+390

0.25u

F.Lindor o0.5 HR+420

1.05u

NYM -104

0.96u

Over 7.5-110

Over 7.5+100

Under 7.5-114

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

$1.00

ATL -115

$1.15

C.Sale u17.5 Outs+136

0.75u

Projection lands at 16.87 and a +ev pick giving us value at this number

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-137

0.73u

M.Olson u1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

L.Severino u5.5 Ks-138

Under 7.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -119 or 7 (+100)

NYM +120 (F5)

0.3u

Small to +110

Under 7.5-115

0.87u

NYM +110

0.55u

Bet to +103

ATL -130

1.3u

BP4

Braves vs Mets: Bet On A Pitcher's Duel?
Kenny Ducey•
Jul 25, 2024 UTC
Today's MLB Best Bets
Action Network•
Jul 25, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 25, 2024 UTC
Braves vs Mets MLB Parlay: Bet This +581 SGP
John Feltman•
Jul 25, 2024 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are just 2-5 (.286) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 27% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for sixth highest in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 31% since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Marcell Ozuna is slugging .545 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Edwin Diaz has thrown a breaking pitch 56% of the time this season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 35% (56 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 100th Percentile.

20 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season -- most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 15-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 17 of Mets' 33 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	27-41	12-21	15-20	18-29	9-12
Braves	41-27	18-15	23-12	33-20	8-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	29-35-4	17-12-4	12-23	22-22-3	7-13-1
Braves	33-31-4	11-20-2	22-11-2	28-22-3	5-9-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	30-38	16-17	14-21	23-24	7-14
Braves	45-23	22-11	23-12	37-16	8-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	@NYY	W 12-3	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +143
Jul 23rd	@NYY	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9	NYM +130
Jul 22nd	@MIA	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -148
Jul 21st	@MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -142
Jul 20th	@MIA	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 9	NYM -166

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable

Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	94	7.1	9	2
RJ.Jimenez, P	7	0.2	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	23	1	2	0
RP.Johnson, P	11	0.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-5	0	0
2A.Riley, 3B	2-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-2	1	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	1
6E.Rosario, LF	0-3	0	0
6W.Merrifield, PR	0-0	0	0
6A.Duvall, LF	0-0	0	0
7N.Alvarez, 2B	0-4	0	0
8R.Laureano, RF	1-4	1	0
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	95	5	6	2
RJ.Butto, P	40	3	4	0
RE.Diaz, P	13	1	2	0
RP.Maton, P	7	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	1	1	2
2J.Iglesias, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
3J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5M.Vientos, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, LF	2-4	0	0	1
7F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Taylor, CF	0-2	1	0	0
9D.Stewart, RF	0-3	0	0	0