Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023

Braves at Nationals

8:05 pm • MASN

Atlanta Braves

0-0

7 - 1

Washington Nationals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Gray			3.91	8-13
S.Strider			3.86	20-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-0	-1.5-150	o9-110	-252
Nationals 0-0	+1.5+130	u9-110	+200

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

April 01, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

Under 8.5-110

S.Strider u17.5 Outs+105

Strider is extremely good, but tends to throw a high number of pitches per PA. He averaged 99 pitches in his 8 starts that went 6 innings last year, so it seems like it’ll be tough for him to get there with a fairly strict pitch count in his first start of the season.

J.Gray o4.5 Ks-135

Over 8.5-122

1.22u

Under 9-115

0.5u

S.Strider o6.5 Ks-118

0.42u

ATL -237

0.5u

ATL -265 (F5)

0.25u

Bet to -274

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The Nationals are just 78-45 (.634) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2021 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .794.

The Braves were 47-18 (.723) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Nationals were just 17-32 (.347) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .293.

Austin Riley had an OPS of .878 last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Patrick Corbin allowed an OPS of .887 (713 PAs) last season -- sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- third Percentile.

Austin Riley slugged .770 on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Josiah Gray allowed a SLG of .790 on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 41% (227/553) against Spencer Strider in 2022 -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider struck out 44% (111/251) of right-handed batters he faced in 2022 -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	ATL	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	ATL +210
Mar 28th	NYY	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH +120
Mar 26th	@MIA	L 2-2	-	-	-
Mar 25th	HOU	L 1-6	-	-	HOU +134
Mar 24th	STL	L 1-7	-	-	STL +119

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Strider, P	96	6	9	0
RN.Anderson, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	8	1	1	0
RK.Yates, P	11	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-5	1	1	1
2M.Olson, 1B	2-3	2	2	3
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
4O.Albies, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
5M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	1
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0
7E.Rosario, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	1	1	1
9O.Arcia, SS	3-4	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	87	5	4	5
LA.Banda, P	13	1	1	0
RT.Ward, P	40	2	2	2
RH. Harris, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Garcia, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Meneses, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3D.Smith, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4K.Ruiz, C	2-4	1	1	1
5C. Dickerson, LF	0-2	0	0	0
5I.Vargas, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Candelario, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7L.Thomas, RF	2-3	0	0	0
8C.Abrams, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9V.Robles, CF	1-2	0	0	0