Cardinals vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2025

Cardinals at Guardians

4:05 pm • Roku

St. Louis Cardinals

55-55

7 - 0

Cleveland Guardians

54-54

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Allen			4.06	7-9
M.Liberatore			4.04	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 55-55	-1.5	-1.5+145	o8-114	-112
Guardians 54-54	u8	+1.5-175	u8-104	-106

Sunday 4:05 p.m.

June 29, 2025

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -106

Under 4.5 (F5)-113

0.44u

No time for a long writeup but I was looking through the RotoGrinders PlateIQ data and both teams have a sea of red against LHP. Outside of Wilson Contreras and Jose Ramirez, most players on both teams have low ISO and wOBA ratings. Matthew Liberatore has a 3.96 ERA but a 3.70 xERA underneath it. I’m more worried about the Logan Allen side, where he has a 10% walk rate this season and the Cardinals are 6th in walks. This is ultimately just going to come down to run prevention as I’m not projecting many homers in this game. I have this projected right around 4.3 runs so given the lack of power from both teams, I’ll take a chance here.

CLE -102

1.02u

CLE +104

avoid the sweep Overall: 828-534-0,61% (ROI:10%) Season:21-17-0,55% (ROI:1%) Dogs after high scoring game Overall: 163-153-0,52% (ROI:16%) Season:3-2-0,60% (ROI:40%)

Over 8.5-105

Under 8.5-110

0.91u

CLE +108

0.5u

Bet to +100

M.Liberatore o17.5 Outs-125

0.8u

Make sure to look around for 16.5 outs on 365/HR if you have those (I don’t)

Cardinals vs Guardians: Sunday Moneyline Pick
Sean Paul•
Jun 29, 2025 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 30-25 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Guardians' 53 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	56-52	26-27	30-25	23-21	33-30
Cardinals	57-53	30-26	27-27	22-31	34-22

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	47-57-4	26-26-1	21-31-3	23-21	24-35-4
Cardinals	55-49-6	29-24-3	26-25-3	26-22-5	28-27-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	54-54	27-26	27-28	28-16	26-37
Cardinals	55-55	32-24	23-31	27-26	27-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	STL	L 6-9	-	O 8.5	STL -122
Jun 27th	STL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	STL +106
Jun 26th	TOR	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TOR -136
Jun 25th	TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	CLE -125
Jun 24th	TOR	L 6-10	+1.5 L	O 9	TOR +112

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Nolan Gorman
2B
Gorman is out with back
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LM.Liberatore, P	96	6	5
LJ.Romero, P	12	1	2
RR.O'Brien, P	26	1	3
LJ.King, P	22	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, LF	0-5	0	0	0
1B.Donovan, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
2M.Winn, SS	2-4	1	0	0
3W.Contreras, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
4J.Fermin, PH	1-1	1	0	0
4J.Fermin, LF	1-1	1	0	0
5N.Gorman, DH	1-3	2	1	3
6T.Saggese, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6T.Saggese, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7P.Pages, C	1-2	1	0	1
8G.Hampson, RF	1-4	0	0	1
9V.Scott, CF	2-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LL.Allen, P	98	6	6	3
RH.Gaddis, P	20	1	1	3
LT.Herrin, P	16	0.2	1	1
RM.Festa, P	8	0.1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	9	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2D.Fry, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2K.Manzardo, PH	0-1	0	0	0
2K.Manzardo, DH	0-1	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5L.Thomas, CF	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Martinez, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
7G.Arias, SS	0-1	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, SS	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Rodriguez, RF	1-3	0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0	0