Cardinals vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 27, 2025

Cardinals at Guardians

11:10 pm • Apple TV+

St. Louis Cardinals

55-55

5 - 0

Cleveland Guardians

54-54

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Ortiz			4.37	4-9
S.Gray			4.38	10-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 55-55	-1.5	-1.5+133	o8.5-111	-127
Guardians 54-54	u8.5	+1.5-162	u8.5-107	+106

Friday 11:10 p.m.

June 27, 2025

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 8.5-105

0.48u

Backing Sonny Gray and Luis Ortiz, both of whom have solid underlying metrics. Gray has a 3.19 FIP and 3.11 xFIP with a career-low 4.9% walk rate. Ortiz with a 3.98 FIP and 3.64 xFIP with a career high 25.7% K%. Guardians also rolling out a more watered-down lineup without Jose Ramirez and Carlos Santana. Both teams have league-average bullpens so that’s why I’m willing to go the full total over the F5. Projecting this closer to 8.

CLE +110

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Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

Under 8.5-104

S.Gray o5.5 Ks-120

0.83u

STL -120

Under 8.5+100

Under when home team shutout Overall: 592-446-50,57% (ROI:10%) Season:33-15-1,69% (ROI:31%)

STL -130

0.77u

S.Gray o5.5 Ks-130

L.Ortiz o4.5 Ks-115

CLE +110

0.5u

Bet to +103

Over 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to 9 (-105)

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 30-25 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Guardians' 53 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	56-52	26-27	30-25	23-21	33-30
Cardinals	57-53	30-26	27-27	22-31	34-22

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	47-57-4	26-26-1	21-31-3	23-21	24-35-4
Cardinals	55-49-6	29-24-3	26-25-3	26-22-5	28-27-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	54-54	27-26	27-28	28-16	26-37
Cardinals	55-55	32-24	23-31	27-26	27-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	TOR	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TOR -136
Jun 25th	TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	CLE -125
Jun 24th	TOR	L 6-10	+1.5 L	O 9	TOR +112
Jun 22nd	@ATH	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9	CLE -113
Jun 22nd	@ATH	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	CLE -135

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Nolan Arenado
3B
Arenado is out with shoulder
Out
Nolan Gorman
2B
Gorman is out with back
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P		89	9	11	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Winn, SS	0-4	1	0	0
3A.Burleson, RF	2-4	2	1	2
3G.Hampson, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4W.Contreras, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
5L.Nootbaar, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Arenado, 3B	2-4	0	0	2
7N.Gorman, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8P.Pages, C	1-4	1	1	1
9V.Scott, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	102	7	5	4
RJ.Junis, P	27	1	1	1
LE.Sabrowski, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, CF	0-3	0	0	0
3K.Manzardo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4D.Fry, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Schneemann, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Jones, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7G.Arias, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Martinez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0