Diamondbacks vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2023

Diamondbacks at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Arizona Diamondbacks

23-23

16 - 13

Atlanta Braves

32-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Elder			3.81	12-4
Z. Davies			7.00	2-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 23-23	N/A	N/A	N/A
Braves 32-16	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:20 p.m.

July 18, 2023

Truist ParkAtlanta

B.Elder o3.5 Ks-130

0.77u

L.Gurriel Jr. o0.5 HR+625

0.1u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/diamondbacks-vs-braves-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-july-18-2023

L.Gurriel Jr. o1.5 Total Bases+102

0.75u

https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/diamondbacks-vs-braves-mlb-odds-picks-predictions-july-18-2023

ARI +1.5-115

Over 10.5-108

ATL o5.5-125

0.8u

ATL -1.5-105

2.1u

R.Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-145

$1.00

ATL -1.5-110

$1.10

ARI +1.5-110

0.91u

POD

Over 10.5-102

0.5u

Z.Davies o14.5 Outs-131

1.31u

B.Elder o3.5 Ks-135

ATL -150

$185.00

READ. Braves to NOT bat bottom 9. Prop bet via DRAFTKINGD

ARI +190

1.9u

FULL GAME, NOT F5 - Elder (4.41 SIERA/4.03 xERA) only around 1/3 run better than Davies (4.93 SIERA/4.63 xERA) overall this year - ATL biggest edge 122 wRC+ Hm/116 v RHP, ARI 101/104 - ARI def 16 Runs Prevetned better & ATL pen estimators nearly 1/2 run better L30 days. All ATL edges except defense, but none so large that they should be massive favorites. This team is over-valued right now.

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See more MLB Coverage

The Braves are 58-26 (.690) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Braves are 44-75 (.370) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .287.

Ronald Acuna has an OPS of .871 since last season -- ninth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Jose Ruiz has allowed an OPS of .788 (453 PAs) since last season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .850 since last season -- 15th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Jose Ruiz has allowed an OPS of .788 (453 PAs) since last season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (176/314) against Bryce Elder this season -- 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 94th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 65% (102/157) against Bryce Elder this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 17-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Braves' 24 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	32-16	15-9	17-7	24-11	8-5
Diamondbacks	28-18	14-8	14-10	11-7	16-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	20-25-3	6-16-2	14-9-1	16-16-3	4-9
Diamondbacks	24-20-2	10-11-1	14-9-1	8-9-1	15-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	32-16	16-8	16-8	25-10	7-6
Diamondbacks	23-23	13-9	10-14	11-7	11-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 16th	CWS	L 1-8	-	-	-
Jul 15th	CWS	L 5-6	-	-	-
Jul 14th	CWS	W 9-0	-	-	-
Jul 9th	@TB	L 4-10	-	-	-
Jul 8th	@TB	W 6-1	-	-	-

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ. Davies, P	78	3.2	1	9
RJ.Ruiz, P	26	1.1	0	2
RA.Adams, P	21	1	0	2
LT.Gilbert, P	8	1	0	0
RM.Castro, P	9	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	16	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	2-5	2	0	2
2K.Marte, 2B	3-6	2	0	3
3C.Carroll, RF	2-5	3	0	2
3C.Carroll, LF	2-5	3	0	2
4C.Walker, 1B	3-5	3	2	5
5L.Gurriel, LF	0-6	0	0	0
5G.Moreno, C	0-0	0	0	0
6D.Canzone, DH	1-5	0	0	1
7E.Rivera, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
8C.Kelly, C	1-4	1	0	0
8J.McCarthy, PH	1-1	1	0	0
8J.McCarthy, RF	1-1	1	0	0
9A.Thomas, CF	2-5	3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	76	2.2	4	5
RM.Tonkin, P	40	2.2	1	4
RB.Heller, P	10	0.2	0	1
RJ.Jimenez, P	20	1	1	0
RK.Yates, P	24	1	0	1
RR.Iglesias, P	13	0.1	1	2
RD. Rodríguez, P	5	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-5	2	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	2	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	3-5	3	2	7
4M.Olson, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5S.Murphy, C	1-4	2	0	2
6M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	1
8O.Arcia, SS	2-4	2	1	2
9S.Hilliard, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9K.Pillar, LF	1-3	1	0	1