Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024
Diamondbacks at Brewers
6:10 pm • BSWIStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
F.Montas | 5.01 | 4-8 | ||
J.Montgomery | 6.23 | 8-7 |
Diamondbacks at Brewers Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks 0-0 | +1.5 | +1.5-182 | o8-115 | +115 |
Brewers 1-2 | u8.5 | -1.5+150 | u8-105 | -135 |
Sunday 6:10 p.m.
September 22, 2024American Family FieldMilwaukee
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Expert Picks
Picks Office
82d ago
Last 30d: 108-100-5 (+0.9u)
MIL -125
0.8u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Frankie Montas takes the mound for the Brewers, coming into this game with a solid, though not spectacular, 7-11 record, a 4.50 ERA, and 138 strikeouts over 144 2/3 innings. Montas has shown consistency with a .240 opponent batting average, and he recently held the Diamondbacks to just 1 earned run in their last meeting. His ability to keep opposing hitters in check, combined with his 8.6 K/9 rate, positions him well to contain a Diamondbacks lineup that has been inconsistent. Montas’ familiarity with Arizona gives the Brewers an edge, and even though he allowed three earned runs in his last outing against the Phillies, his overall body of work suggests he can handle this Diamondbacks lineup.
The Brewers' offense has been clicking, ranking seventh in MLB with 740 runs scored and maintaining a .248 team batting average. Notably, their .252 batting average at home against left-handed pitchers is a key factor here. Facing Jordan Montgomery, who has been vulnerable with a 6.23 ERA this season, Milwaukee’s offense should be primed for a productive game. Montgomery has struggled to limit damage, surrendering a .311 batting average to opposing hitters and managing just 6.2 strikeouts per nine innings. His 3 earned runs allowed against the Brewers in their last encounter isn’t a promising sign, especially considering he has consistently failed to escape innings cleanly.
Milwaukee's bullpen further solidifies their advantage, boasting a remarkable 2.68 ERA, which contrasts with the Diamondbacks’ less impressive 3.48 bullpen ERA. The Brewers’ relievers have been lights out, offering a reliable safety net if Montas can provide solid innings. The combination of Montas' stability on the mound, Milwaukee’s strong offensive metrics, and a bullpen that ranks among the best in MLB gives the Brewers a clear edge in this matchup. Montgomery’s persistent struggles to keep opposing hitters off base make this a tough spot for Arizona.
Sean Zerillo
82d ago
Last 30d: 19-36-0 (-5.3u)
Under 8.5+102
0.5u
Bet to -104
Nick Martin
82d ago
Last 30d: 123-174-1 (+1.1u)
Over 8.5-124
0.4u
PRO Insights
Diamondbacks
ARI Insights
- Featured InsightThe Diamondbacks have scored 8.0 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (5 games). The Brewers have allowed 5.8 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (6 games).
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Brewers
MIL Insights
- Featured InsightThe Brewers are batting .268 with RISP since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .277 (340-for-1,226) against Diamondbacks RPs with RISP since last season -- tied for third worst in MLB.
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Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brewers | 87-75 | 44-37 | 43-38 | 43-48 | 43-26 |
Diamondbacks | 82-80 | 37-44 | 45-36 | 37-48 | 43-31 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brewers | 81-70-11 | 40-33-8 | 41-37-3 | 41-43-7 | 40-25-4 |
Diamondbacks | 92-64-6 | 50-29-2 | 42-35-4 | 50-33-2 | 41-29-4 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brewers | 93-69 | 47-34 | 46-35 | 54-37 | 38-31 |
Diamondbacks | 89-73 | 44-37 | 45-36 | 52-33 | 35-39 |
Last 5 Matchups
Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates
Brewers Injuries
- Christian YelichOF
Yelich is out with back
Out
- Brandon WoodruffP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
- Robert GasserP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out
Diamondbacks Injuries
- Ryne NelsonP
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Box Score
Diamondbacks Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LJ.Montgomery, P | 91 | 4.1 | 6 | 3 | |
RY.Diaz, P | 35 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | |
RR.Thompson, P | 18 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
LJ.Mantiply, P | 21 | 0.2 | 0 | 3 | |
RJ.Martinez, P | 22 | 0.1 | 1 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1P.Smith, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1C.Walker, PH | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1C.Walker, 1B | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2K.Marte, 2B | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
3J.Pederson, DH | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3R.Grichuk, PH | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
3R.Grichuk, DH | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
4L.Gurriel, LF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5J.McCarthy, CF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
6J.Bell, 1B | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
6C.Carroll, RF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7E.Suarez, 3B | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
8G.Moreno, C | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8J.Herrera, C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9G.Perdomo, SS | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Brewers Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RF.Montas, P | 68 | 2.2 | 4 | 7 | |
LA.Ashby, P | 29 | 1.1 | 4 | 0 | |
LD.Hall, P | 33 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
RJ.Payamps, P | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
LJ.Koenig, P | 21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
RD.Williams, P | 21 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Chourio, LF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
2B.Perkins, CF | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3W.Contreras, DH | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3G.Mitchell, PR | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
3G.Mitchell, DH | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
4R.Hoskins, 1B | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
5W.Adames, SS | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
6G.Sanchez, C | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Bauers, PH | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
6E.Haase, C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7S.Frelick, RF | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
8J.Ortiz, 3B | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
9B.Turang, 2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks vs. Brewers Odds Comparison
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Diamondbacks at Brewers Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Diamondbacks 0-0 | o3.5-125 | u3.5-105 |
Brewers 1-2 | o4.5+114 | u4.5-145 |