Diamondbacks vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - July 25, 2024

Diamondbacks at Royals

12:10 am • ARID

Arizona Diamondbacks

16-14

8 - 6

Kansas City Royals

12-19

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Wacha			3.35	13-8
R.Nelson			4.24	10-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 16-14	+1.5-189	o9+101	+100
Royals 12-19	-1.5+160	u9-118	-125

Thursday 12:10 a.m.

July 25, 2024

Kauffman StadiumKansas City

M.Wacha o4.5 Ks+120

KC -125

Under 9-105

0.5u

Flat at -105 or better

R.Nelson u3.5 Ks-125

0.4u

ARI +115

0.58u

Bet to +106

ARI +110 (F5)

0.25u

Small to +105

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. Royals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Royals right-handed hitters have struck out just 6% against LHP over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks RPs have a strikeout rate of just 15% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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The Diamondbacks are 17-13 (.567) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Vinnie Pasquantino has struck out in just 13% of PA's this season -- eighth lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 16% vs left-handed batters this season -- seventh lowest among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP-- eighth Percentile.

Bobby Witt Jr. is batting .301 since last season -- eighth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting .296 (143-for-483) against Ryne Nelson since last season -- tied for seventh worst among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP-- sixth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Royals are 4-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Royals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Royals' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	12-19	8-8	4-11	8-9	3-10
Diamondbacks	20-10	9-6	11-4	6-4	13-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Royals	13-18	10-6	3-12	10-7	3-10
Diamondbacks	18-11-1	9-6	9-5-1	5-5	12-6-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Royals	12-19	9-7	3-12	9-8	2-11
Diamondbacks	16-14	9-6	7-8	6-4	9-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 24th	ARI	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 9	ARI -111
Jul 23rd	ARI	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	KC -155
Jul 21st	CWS	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	KC -230
Jul 20th	CWS	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 8	KC -238
Jul 20th	CWS	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 9	KC -232

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	90	6	2	4
RJ.Martinez, P	14	1	1	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	17	1	1	0
RP.Sewald, P	22	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	1	1	3
3J.Pederson, DH	1-4	1	1	1
4C.Walker, 1B	1-5	1	1	1
5J.McCarthy, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5J.McCarthy, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
7A.Thomas, CF	0-2	0	0	0
7L.Gurriel, PH	1-2	1	0	0
7L.Gurriel, LF	1-2	1	0	0
8G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	0-1	0	0	0
9G.Moreno, PH	1-2	1	0	2
9G.Moreno, C	1-2	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Wacha, P	81	4.2	1	3
LA.Zerpa, P	17	1.1	0	0
LS.Long, P	13	1	1	0
RH.Harvey, P	19	1	0	0
RJ.McArthur, P	26	1	1	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Frazier, LF	0-4	0	0
1G.Hampson, LF	0-1	0	0
1G.Hampson, 2B	0-1	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	3-4	1	0
3V.Pasquantino, 1B	3-4	0	2
4S.Perez, C	1-5	0	0
5M.Massey, 2B	1-3	1	0
5N.Loftin, PH	0-1	0	0
5H.Renfroe, RF	0-0	0	0
6F.Fermin, DH	1-4	1	0
7D.Waters, RF	1-2	0	1
7D.Waters, LF	1-2	0	1
8M.Garcia, 3B	1-4	2	1
9K.Isbel, CF	1-4	1	1