Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024
Dodgers at Marlins
10:40 pm • BSFLStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
R.Weathers | 3.64 | 5-6 | ||
L.Knack | 3.65 | 3-5 |
Dodgers at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Dodgers 11-5 | -1.5-125 | o9-105 | -202 | |
Marlins 0-0 | +1.5+105 | u9-115 | +169 |
Wednesday 10:40 p.m.
September 18, 2024loanDepot parkMiami
Dodgers vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Picks Office
94d ago
Last 30d: 117-108-6 (+0.4u)
Under 9-110
1u
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Miami has been struggling offensively, managing just two wins in their last eight games and reflecting those struggles even more so at home with a poor 29-47 record. Their inability to produce runs has been a key issue, and this won’t be helped by the Dodgers' strong bullpen, which boasts a stellar ERA of 3.02, one of the best in the league. The Miami bullpen also has not been too shoddy, allowing only a 3.43 ERA in the last three games, which further cements the case for a lower-scoring game.
On the mound, both Ryan Weathers and Landon Knack proffer solid starting options that like to keep runs at a premium. Weathers has a 3.77 ERA and a 2.47 ground ball-to-fly ball ratio, which indicates he's inducing a number of ground balls that naturally limit big extra-base hits and potential run-scoring opportunities. His 1.14 WHIP shows good control over base runners, limiting the chances for big innings.
Meanwhile, Knack with an equally productive ERA of 3.70, a WHIP of 1.09, and a ground ball-to-fly ball ratio of 0.95 proves that he controls the game just as well, keeping runners off base and remaining stingy in allowing the Miami offense-scoring chances. His .276 opponent OBP is indicative of his ability to suppress baserunners, and coupled with decent numbers from Weathers, the setup is there for a pitching duel. Umpire Adam Beck tugs the momentum even more in the Under's direction, as his 64.4 percent strike rate makes life on pitchers. Games worked by Beck are typically low-scoring affairs because of a lack of walks and an abundance of strikeouts, which plays out perfectly with two starters who already do a great job of maintaining control. Finally, the wind will be blowing in from center, which will knock down would-be home runs or deep extra-base hits and help to keep run production lower across the board.
Lines at Lunch
94d ago
Last 30d: 119-86-4 (+23.9u)
LAD o2.5 Team Total (F5)-110
1u
Sandy
Firefighter Bets
94d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
T.Edman o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
0.83u
C.Norby o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
1u
Player Prop Savant
95d ago
Last 30d: 35-34-0 (-5.1u)
LAD o4.5 Team Total-139
1.5u
Moneyline Hacks
95d ago
Last 30d: 52-48-1 (+13.8u)
F.Freeman o0.5 RBI+165
0.5u
L.Knack u4.5 Ks+125
1u
Sandy Plashkes
95d ago
Last 30d: 107-106-4 (+5.9u)
LAD o2.5 Team Total (F5)-110
1u
Boomer Betz
95d ago
Last 30d: 139-148-8 (-10.3u)
Under 8.5+100
1u
Sean Zerillo
95d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Under 9-114
0.57u
Bet to 9 (-120) or 8.5 (+100)
PRO Insights
Dodgers
LAD Insights
- Featured InsightDodgers have won 59% of their games this season -- second best in MLB. Marlins have won just 37% of their games this season -- second worst.
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Marlins
MIA Insights
- Featured InsightMarlins hitters have a groundball rate of 50% over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Dodgers over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.
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Dodgers vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Dodgers vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Dodgers vs. Marlins Injury Updates
Dodgers Injuries
- Dustin MayP
May is out with elbow
Out
- Tony GonsolinP
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Gavin StoneP
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
- Emmet SheehanP
Sheehan is out with arm
Out
Marlins Injuries
- Sandy AlcantaraP
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Jesus LuzardoP
Luzardo is out with back
Out
- Max MeyerP
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Dodgers vs. Marlins Box Score
Dodgers Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RL.Knack, P | 87 | 5 | 7 | 0 | |
RJ.Kelly, P | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
LZ.Logue, P | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
RB.Treinen, P | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RM.Kopech, P | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
RB.Honeywell, P | 23 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1S.Ohtani, DH | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2M.Betts, 2B | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2M.Betts, RF | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Hernandez, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3T.Hernandez, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3K.Kiermaier, PR | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3K.Kiermaier, CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4F.Freeman, 1B | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
5T.Edman, SS | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
6W.Smith, C | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
7A.Pages, CF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7M.Muncy, PH | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7M.Muncy, 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8K.Hernandez, 3B | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
8G.Lux, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8G.Lux, 2B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9C.Taylor, LF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
9C.Taylor, CF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
9C.Taylor, LF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Marlins Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LR.Weathers, P | 74 | 4.1 | 5 | 5 | |
RX.Curry, P | 32 | 2.2 | 3 | 0 | |
RM.Petersen, P | 21 | 0.2 | 1 | 2 | |
RM.Baumann, P | 16 | 1.1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1X.Edwards, SS | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2C.Norby, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Sanchez, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Sanchez, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4J.Burger, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5J.Bride, DH | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6K.Stowers, CF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6K.Stowers, LF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7O.Lopez, 2B | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
8G.Conine, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8J.Sanoja, PH | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8J.Sanoja, CF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9N.Fortes, C | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Dodgers at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Dodgers 11-5 | o5.5+100 | u5.5-130 |
Marlins 0-0 | o3.5+100 | u3.5-130 |