Giants vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2023

Giants at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

San Francisco Giants

0-0

3 - 4

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Luzardo			3.63	10-9
L.Webb			3.25	11-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 0-0	-1.5+176	o7.5+100	+100
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-210	u7.5-120	-120

Monday 10:40 p.m.

April 17, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

SF -100

$100.00

In place of SGP L

SF +106

0.5u

L.Webb u5.5 Ks-112

1.12u

Webb is off to a nice start with a 11.65 K/9 and while his 12% swinging strike rate is good (for him) he’s not going to be able to maintain a 49% outside the zone contact %. That will likely be closer to 60% going forward, which will cause his K% to plummet from 31% to 23-24%. He’s throwing his sinker more often (43% of the time) compared to 33% a year ago and has only managed a 8% whiff rate, which is another reason why his K/9 should drop. Marlins 3/5/6 hitters are very tough to K and the only player I have with a 30%+ chance to K is number 9 hitter Garrett Hampson. Cobb is unlikely to face Hampson a 3rd time which is great for this prop. Projecting this closer to -150

Under 7.5-102

0.98u

Over 7-112

$1.00

SF -100

Under 3.5 (F5)-115

1.15u

MIA -120

J.Soler u0.5 Hits+137

0.5u

Soler 7 strikeouts in 10 ABs v Logan Webb, never recorded a hit

L.Webb o5.5 Ks-110

0.68u

Bet365 10:55.

Under 3.5 (F5)-104

Under 7.5-115

MIA -125 (F5)

0.63u

SF u1.5 (F5)-110

0.55u

Over 7-112

0.56u

Bet to -115

MLB Monday Betting Preview & Best Bets | Payoff Pitch Podcast
Brendan Glasheen•
Apr 17, 2023 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Giants are 27-35 (.435) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .273.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 51-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	94-68	43-38	51-30	11-18	82-49
Giants	76-86	35-46	41-40	35-57	40-28

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	80-79-3	38-42-1	42-37-2	17-12	62-66-3
Giants	75-80-7	35-45-1	40-35-6	36-55-1	37-25-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	79-83	38-43	41-40	15-14	64-67
Giants	81-81	42-39	39-42	49-43	31-37

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 16th	ARI	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 7	ARI -138
Apr 15th	ARI	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -122
Apr 14th	ARI	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	MIA -157
Apr 12th	@PHI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +172
Apr 11th	@PHI	W 8-4	+1.5 W	O 8	MIA +120

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
RP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Webb, P		105	6.2	6	4
LS.Alexander, P		11	1.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Estrada, LF	0-4	0	0
2W.Flores, 1B	3-4	1	0
3D. Ruf, DH	0-1	1	0
3M. Beaty, PH	0-1	0	0
3M. Beaty, DH	0-1	0	0
4J.Davis, 3B	0-4	0	0
5D.Villar, 2B	1-4	0	2
6M.Yastrzemski, CF	0-4	0	0
7J.Bart, C	2-4	1	0
8H.Ramos, RF	1-2	0	1
8L.Wade, PH	0-0	0	0
8L.Wade, RF	0-0	0	0
9B.Crawford, SS	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Luzardo, P	100	4.1	6	3
LA.Nardi, P	11	1.2	1	0
RM.Barnes, P	23	1	1	0
RD.Floro, P	9	1	1	0
LA.Puk, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	1	0	1
2G.Cooper, DH	1-4	0	0	0
3L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
4B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J. Segura, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
7J.Sanchez, RF	2-2	1	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Hampson, SS	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Soler, PH	1-1	1	1	2
9J.Berti, SS	0-0	0	0	0