Guardians vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Guardians at Astros

12:10 am • SCHN

Cleveland Guardians

26-22

9 - 10

Houston Astros

19-29

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Brown			3.49	11-9
C.Carrasco			5.64	3-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 26-22	+1.5	+1.5-142	o9-108	+143
Astros 19-29	-1.5+120	u9-112	-170

Wednesday 12:10 a.m.

May 01, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

K.Tucker o1.5 Total Bases+129

1.29u

HOU -1-115

CLE +145

Over 5.5 (F5)+114

0.57u

4.4 xERA Carrasco's best estimator, 4.36 dERA Brown's. HOU 144/112 wRC+ Hm/v RHP, CLE 99 (19.1 K%) v RHP

HOU -0.5 (F5)-125

$1.00

Y.Alvarez To Record 2+ Total Bases Yes-130

$1.30

HOU -1.5+120

$1.00

J.Altuve o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-155

0.65u

Over 9-120

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Guardians have scored in at least three different innings in 61% of their games this season -- fourth highest in MLB. Astros have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 57% of their games this season -- tied for second highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 36% against the Astros this season -- second best in MLB. Guardians hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Astros are just 10-15 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 12-68 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Astros are just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Andres Gimenez is batting .279 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents are hitting .279 (112-for-401) on Hunter Brown breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

Kyle Tucker has an OPS of .896 since last season -- 11th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .904 (523 PAs) since last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP-- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 8-14 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 16 of Astros' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	19-29	11-15	8-14	4-11	15-17
Guardians	27-21	16-9	11-12	16-12	11-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	27-18-3	16-9-1	11-9-2	9-6	17-12-3
Guardians	25-23	12-13	13-10	15-13	10-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	19-29	12-14	7-15	5-10	14-18
Guardians	26-22	15-10	11-12	16-12	10-10

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	@COL	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 16	HOU -256
Apr 27th	@COL	W 12-4	-1.5 W	U 16.5	HOU -218
Apr 25th	@CHC	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -148
Apr 24th	@CHC	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CHC -112
Apr 23rd	@CHC	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 10.5	CHC -113

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Carrasco, P	76	4	3	8
RC.Smith, P	24	1	2	0
RS.Barlow, P	8	0.2	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	17	0.2	2	0
RN.Sandlin, P	11	1.2	0	0
RE.Clase, P	14	1	0	0
RH.Gaddis, P	8	0.2	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-2	2	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	2-5	2	1	2
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-4	2	1	3
5W.Brennan, RF	0-4	1	0	0
5R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5R.Laureano, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Freeman, CF	0-4	1	0	0
7E.Florial, DH	1-3	1	1	3
7D.Fry, PH	1-1	0	0	1
7D.Fry, DH	1-1	0	0	1
8B.Naylor, C	0-4	0	0	0
8G.Arias, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-0	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	97	5.1	7	6
RR.Montero, P	26	0.2	1	2
RB.Abreu, P	21	1	2	0
RR.Pressly, P	16	1	1	0
LJ.Hader, P	33	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	2-5	1	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-5	1	1	3
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-5	0	0	0
4K.Tucker, RF	2-3	1	0	0
5J.Pena, SS	2-4	1	0	0
6Y.Diaz, C	1-5	1	0	0
6M.Dubon, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7J.Loperfido, LF	1-5	1	0	2
8J.Singleton, 1B	1-4	2	1	3
9J.Meyers, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9V.Caratini, PH	1-1	1	1	2