Astros vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - April 23, 2024

Astros at Cubs

11:40 pm • MARQ

Houston Astros

19-29

2 - 7

Chicago Cubs

29-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Wicks			5.48	2-4
J.France			7.46	0-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 19-29	-1.5	-1.5+136	o10.5-105	-113
Cubs 29-18	u10.5	+1.5-162	u10.5-115	-106

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

April 23, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

CHC -102

0.98u

… mlb home team off loss no travel Overall: 204-142-1,59% (ROI:20%) Season:1-2-0,33% (ROI:-33%)

CHC -121 (F5)

Under 10.5-115

0.87u

Over 10-112

2.24u

Under 10-109

0.92u

HOU -115

$1.15

J.Wicks u3.5 Ks+108

0.5u

CHC +102

0.51u

Bet to +100

CHC +102

1.02u

Wicks estimators more than a run better. HOU 134 wRC+ v LHP, CHC 96 v RHP just about evens it out with pens & defenses comparable. Should make CHC favorites at home, no?

Featured Insight
Astros left-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against RHP over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB. Cubs have a strikeout rate of just 18% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored 6.2 runs per game at home this season -- highest in MLB (10 games). The Astros have allowed 6.5 runs per game on the road this season -- second highest in MLB (10 games).

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The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Dansby Swanson has struck out in 25% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Jordan Wicks has allowed a slugging percentage of .875 (14 Total Bases / 16 ABs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .390 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 9-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Cubs' 23 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	21-26	12-11	9-15	14-16	7-10
Astros	19-29	11-15	8-14	4-11	15-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	27-20	13-10	14-10	16-14	11-6
Astros	27-18-3	16-9-1	11-9-2	9-6	17-12-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	29-18	18-5	11-13	21-9	8-9
Astros	19-29	12-14	7-15	5-10	14-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 21st	MIA	L 3-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -125
Apr 20th	MIA	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CHC -219
Apr 20th	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	MIA -141
Apr 19th	MIA	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CHC -170
Apr 17th	@ARI	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +110

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out
Jordan Wicks
SP
Wicks is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.France, P	96	5	6	5
RT.Scott, P	31	1	1	0
RS.Martinez, P	42	2	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2Y.Alvarez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3K.Tucker, RF	2-3	1	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
5Y.Diaz, C	1-4	0	0	1
6J.Pena, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7C.McCormick, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Abreu, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Wicks, P	86	6	4	2
RB.Brown, P	7	1	0	0
RM.Leiter, P	15	0.2	0	0
RY.Almonte, P	13	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	0-5	0	0	1
2I.Happ, LF	1-3	1	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-3	1	1	2
3A.Canario, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4M.Busch, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5C.Morel, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
5N.Madrigal, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6D.Swanson, SS	1-3	2	0	0
7M.Tauchman, RF	2-3	2	2	4
7M.Tauchman, CF	2-3	2	2	4
8M.Mervis, DH	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-2	0	0	0