Guardians vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - May 30, 2023

Guardians at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

5 - 8

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Gibson			4.73	15-9
C.Quantrill			5.24	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	+1.5-172	o9-112	+115
Orioles 0-0	-1.5+142	u9-108	-137

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

May 30, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

Under 9-108

1.08u

Over 5 (F5)-105

0.95u

Cal can suck it

Over 9-112

0.89u

BAL o4.5-125

BAL -146

0.82u

Available at FanDuel. I've got the Orioles' win odds at 61.8%, up from 59.4% implied. There are likely a couple reasons for this. First, the offensive edge belongs heavily in Baltimore's corner as the Guardians still have just a 79 wRC+ and .116 ISO against righties on the current active roster. Second, I'm skeptical that Cal Quantrill will be as able to out-perform his peripherals as he was last year. His expected ERA is nearly a full run higher than his ERA thanks to an increased hard-hit rate this year. The Guardians have been arguably the league's most underwhelming team thus far, and the Orioles look legit good. With almost two months of data telling us this, I'm fine buying into Baltimore here.

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The Guardians are just 12-10 (.545) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .737.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 29th	CLE	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CLE -139
May 28th	TEX	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL -154
May 27th	TEX	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TEX -112
May 26th	TEX	L 2-12	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TEX -138
May 25th	@NYY	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 9	BAL +113

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	85	4.1	3	8
RE.Morgan, P	10	0.2	2	0
RJ.Karinchak, P	11	1	1	0
LS.Hentges, P	18	1	0	0
RE.Clase, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-5	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	1-4	1	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-5	1	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-3	1	2
5J.Bell, DH	1-3	0	2
6A.Gimenez, 2B	2-4	0	1
7W.Brennan, RF	2-4	0	0
8M. Zunino, C	0-3	1	0
9M.Straw, CF	2-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	95	5.2	3	3
RB.Baker, P	14	0.1	1	2
LD.Coulombe, P	20	0.2	0	0
RY.Cano, P	17	1.1	0	0
RF.Bautista, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Frazier, 2B	2-5	2	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-2	2	1
3A.Santander, RF	3-4	2	3
4A.Hays, CF	0-2	0	1
5G.Henderson, DH	2-4	0	3
6R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	0	0
7R.Urias, 3B	1-3	1	0
8T.Vavra, LF	0-4	0	0
8R.McKenna, LF	0-0	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	1-4	1	0