Marlins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 12, 2024

Marlins at Mets

11:10 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

5-3

4 - 10

New York Mets

5-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			2.90	10-3
B.Garrett			5.35	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 5-3	+1.5-164	o7.5-115	+135
Mets 5-4	-1.5+136	u7.5-105	-160

Wednesday 11:10 p.m.

June 12, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

NYM -150

$1.00

NYM -1.5+143

1.43u

NYM -153

1.31u

NYM -150

D.Peterson o4.5 Ks-145

1.45u

B.Garrett o3.5 Ks-175

0.57u

B.Garrett o4.5 Ks+110

0.91u

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Featured Insight
The Mets have scored 5.5 runs per game on the road this season -- highest in MLB (29 games). The Marlins have allowed 5.8 runs per game at home this season -- highest in MLB (37 games).

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The Mets are just 22-6 (.786) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

Jeff McNeil has an OPS of just .687 since last season -- 12th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .516 (423 PAs) since last season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Pete Alonso slugged .519 on breaking pitches in the 2022 season -- seventh best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Tanner Scott threw a breaking pitch 62% of the time in the 2022 season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (75/134) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 36% -- 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (309/579) of right-handed hitters since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 66% -- 0 Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has walked 20 of 586 right-handed batters (3%) since last season -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Mets' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	5-4	2-1	3-3	4-4	1-0
Marlins	2-6	2-4	0-2	2-4	0-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	4-5	1-2	3-3	3-5	1-0
Marlins	5-3	3-3	2-0	3-3	2-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	5-4	2-1	3-3	4-4	1-0
Marlins	5-3	5-1	0-2	5-1	0-2

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 11th	MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -155
Jun 9th	@PHI	W 6-5	+1.5 W	U 11.5	NYM +120
Jun 8th	PHI	L 2-7	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +140
Jun 5th	@WSH	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 9.5	NYM -142
Jun 4th	@WSH	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -142

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable

Brett Baty
3B
Brett Baty scratched Sunday.
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

Chris Paddack
SP
Chris Paddack has been scratched Sunday. Pete Fairbanks will start for the Marlins
Out
Esteury Ruiz
LF
Ruiz is out with oblique
Out
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with hamstring
Out
Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Christopher Morel
LF
Christopher Morel (left oblique) scratched Friday.
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	89	4.2	4	4
RJ.Chargois, P	21	1.1	1	0
RD.Cronin, P	16	0.2	0	2
RB.Smith, P	25	1.1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Lopez, 2B	1-5	1	0
2B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	1	1
3J.Bell, DH	0-3	0	0
4J.Burger, 1B	1-3	1	0
5J.Chisholm, CF	2-4	0	1
6T.Anderson, SS	2-4	0	0
7D.Myers, RF	1-2	1	1
7J.Sanchez, PH	0-2	0	0
7J.Sanchez, RF	0-2	0	0
8E.Rivera, 3B	1-3	0	1
8V.Brujan, PH	0-1	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	0-3	0	0
9N.Gordon, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	84	5	1	4
RD.Nunez, P	29	2.1	5	0
LJ.Diekman, P	17	0.2	0	0
RR.Garrett, P	14	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-5	2	1	1
2H.Bader, CF	2-5	2	1	2
3J.Martinez, DH	1-5	0	0	1
4P.Alonso, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
5S.Marte, RF	2-4	2	1	2
6T.Taylor, LF	4-5	1	0	0
7M.Vientos, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
8F.Alvarez, C	1-4	0	0	2
9J.McNeil, 2B	0-4	1	0	0