Mets vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - September 30, 2022

Mets at Braves

11:20 pm • MLB Network

New York Mets

1-0

2 - 5

Atlanta Braves

0-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Fried			2.48	14-7
J.deGrom			3.08	5-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 1-0	-1.5+152	o6.5-110	-125
Braves 0-1	+1.5-177	u6.5-108	+105

Friday 11:20 p.m.

September 30, 2022

Truist ParkAtlanta

ATL +110

1.1u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+100

0.1u

DK boost

NYM -133

1.33u

ATL +0.5 (F5)-125

0.4u

Wynn. Bet to -140

M. Fried o17.5 Pitching Outs-115

1.15u

DraftKings. Over this line in 12/L14 home starts (excl the rain delayed game vs MIA), and 3/4 vs NYM. He’s a big game pitcher, and I give him the edge in what should be a playoff-type atmosphere tonight.

F. Álvarez o0.5 Hits-135

0.2u

ATL +120 (F5)

0.6u

Wynn. Bet to +108

ATL +110

0.55u

DK. Bet to +100

Our Best Bets From Friday's MLB Slate
Action Network Staff•
Sep 30, 2022 UTC
Mets vs. Braves: Battle of Aces With NL East On The Line
Nick Shlain•
Sep 30, 2022 UTC

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The Braves are 107-82 (.566) on the road since the 2020 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .464.

Francisco Lindor is slugging .740 on inside fastballs this season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Max Fried has located his fastball inside 47% of the time this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 97th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.2 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (176 balls in play) -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

17 of Max Fried's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- 4th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 92nd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 28th	@WSH	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -215
Sep 27th	@WSH	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	ATL -210
Sep 26th	@WSH	W 8-0	-1.5 W	U 9.5	ATL -250
Sep 25th	@PHI	W 8-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	ATL -142
Sep 24th	@PHI	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -125

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.deGrom, P	86	6	11	3
RT.Megill, P	19	0.2	0	2
RT. May, P	6	0.1	1	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	1-4	0	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0	0
5J.McNeil, RF	2-4	1	0	0
5J.McNeil, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
6E. Escobar, 3B	2-3	0	0	0
7F.Alvarez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, 2B	1-2	0	0	1
8M.Vientos, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8T. Naquin, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	71	5	3	1
RC. McHugh, P	11	1	0	0
RR.Iglesias, P	13	1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	21	1	1	1
RK.Jansen, P	24	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	1-4	1	1	1
3M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Riley, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Olson, 1B	2-3	2	1	1
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	1	0	0
7W.Contreras, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Rosario, LF	0-2	0	0	1
8G. Heredia, LF	0-0	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, 2B	2-3	0	0	1