Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - March 30, 2023

Orioles at Red Sox

6:10 pm • NESN

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

10 - 9

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C. Kluber			7.04	3-6
K.Gibson			4.73	15-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-0	+1.5-190	o9+100	+105
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+158	u9-120	-125

Thursday 6:10 p.m.

March 30, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -124

Under 8.5-101

1.01u

R.Devers o0.5 HR+550

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Betting on 10 players to hit HR for 0.1U each.

BOS -118

0.59u

Lance Barksdale behind the plate, +32 units lifetime to home teams. Baltimore pen projected to get flamed this year.

BAL +104

1.04u

C.Kluber u4.5 Ks-110

0.5u

BAL +107

Under 9-105

BAL +108

0.54u

Keeping units low here because it's the first time using my updated MLB moneyline model. Available at FanDuel. I've got the Orioles as the slightest of favorites here -- 50.1% -- so +108 works for me. I'm not overly high on Corey Kluber, and I think Kyle Gibson is a bit better than consensus. The Red Sox's offense also isn't one that puts a ton of fear in you with just a 103 wRC+ against righties on the current active roster last year.

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 28th	ATL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL +107
Mar 27th	@ATL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 10.5	ATL +129
Mar 26th	MIN	L 2-7	-1.5 L	U 9	MIN -165
Mar 25th	@TB	L 2-4	-	-	TB +154
Mar 24th	ATL	W 9-8	-	-	BOS +101

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gibson, P	79	5	3	4
LK.Akin, P	17	1	2	0
LC.Perez, P	10	1	0	0
RB.Baker, P	16	0.2	1	3
RL.Gillaspie, P	6	0.1	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	25	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	1-4	2	0	1
2A.Rutschman, C	5-5	1	1	4
3A.Santander, LF	2-6	0	0	0
3R.McKenna, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3R.McKenna, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	0	0	1
5G.Henderson, DH	0-3	1	0	0
6R.Urias, 3B	2-4	1	1	2
7A.Hays, RF	0-5	0	0	0
8A.Frazier, 2B	2-4	3	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	2-3	2	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC. Kluber, P	80	3.1	4	5
RZ.Kelly, P	22	0.2	2	0
RR.Brasier, P	35	1	0	3
RK.Ort, P	24	2	1	2
RJ.Winckowski, P	15	1	1	0
RC.Martin, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	2-5	2	0
2R.Devers, 3B	2-5	2	1
3J.Turner, DH	2-4	2	1
3R.Refsnyder, PR	0-0	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	2-4	1	1
5A.Duvall, CF	1-4	1	1
6T.Casas, 1B	0-2	0	2
7C. Arroyo, 2B	1-4	0	2
8R.McGuire, C	1-2	0	0
8C.Wong, PH	0-2	0	0
8C.Wong, C	0-2	0	0
9K.Hernandez, SS	0-3	0	0
9R. Tapia, PH	0-0	1	0