Phillies vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - June 5, 2025

Follow @PicksOffice on X. Blue Jays have won 8 of last 9 at home – turf plays fast, fits their style. Hitting .319 last 6 games with 7.3 runs/game. Against lefties, Toronto ranks 5th in wRC+, 6th in wOBA. Luzardo just gave up 12 ER in 3.1 IP. Jays offense rolling, Luzardo crumbling. Chris Bassitt at home: 4-0, 2.73 ERA. Career vs PHI: 4-0, 2.36 ERA. Current Phillies hitters slug just .450 vs him in 131 ABs. Toronto bullpen: 2.27 ERA last 10 games vs Philly’s 4.82. Jays have late-inning edge if it's close. Bassitt’s experience shows up when it counts. Phillies just 4-6 last 10, batting .221 in that stretch. Bullpen ranked 25th in ERA, and Luzardo’s recent form adds stress. Toronto’s lineup has feasted – OPS over .900 in 3 straight.

Bassitt has gone under this line in 8/10 starts this season (4/6 at home) and has had a tough time keeping his pitch count down. In his last 2 games, he gave up 9 hits and 5 runs vs the Rays and 7 hits and 5 runs vs the A's. In both games, he went under 15.5 outs. Against the A's, the Blue Jays had a stressed bullpen and needed him to eat some innings, but he struggled with the A's lineup and got pulled in the 5th. Tomorrow, he will face the Phillies, one of the best lineups in baseball. The Phillies lineup ranks 9th in wRC+, 3rd in BB%, and 8th in wOBA vs RHP. The Blue Jays also have a fresh bullpen, so if he continues to struggle, they won't hesitate to get an arm up in the bullpen.

Bet to -102

See notes on full game - Splitting it up due to bullpen usage on Wed.