Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - June 15, 2023

Phillies at Diamondbacks

7:40 pm • MLB Network

Philadelphia Phillies

25-23

5 - 4

Arizona Diamondbacks

23-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Nelson			5.31	8-8
A.Nola			4.46	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 25-23	N/A	N/A	N/A
Diamondbacks 23-23	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 7:40 p.m.

June 15, 2023

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI +2.5 (Live)+105

1.05u

ARI +118

0.5u

PHI w/ large SP edge - but ARI 5 pt wRC+ edge v RHP & Realmuto absence is a huge deal both Off & Def - ARI 14 Runs Prevented edge probably even larger now - ARI pen estimators 1/2 run better L30 days too.

Over 9-110

PHI o2.5 (F5)-105

0.95u

C.Carroll o1.5 Total Bases-105

$1.05

A.Nola u18.5 Outs-131

0.35u

PHI -132

A.Nola u18.5 Outs-140

$115.00

PHI -124

0.81u

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The Diamondbacks are 8-2 (.800) after a road loss this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .459.

Ketel Marte batted just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- tied for 15th worst in MLB-- 14th Percentile. Aaron Nola had a strike rate of 70% on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Christian Walker has 7 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for fourth most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 31% of the time this season -- seventh highest among qualified SPs-- 88th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (31/95) against Aaron Nola this season -- 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- eighth Percentile.

Aaron Nola has walked 8 of 211 right-handed batters (4%) this season -- tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 90th Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed an OBP of .424 (132 PA's) vs left-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .314 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 14-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Diamondbacks' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	27-18	13-8	14-10	10-7	16-11
Phillies	15-32	7-17	8-15	11-22	4-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	23-20-2	9-11-1	14-9-1	7-9-1	15-11-1
Phillies	23-22-2	14-9-1	9-13-1	19-13-1	4-9-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	22-23	12-9	10-14	10-7	11-16
Phillies	24-23	12-12	12-11	19-14	5-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 15th	PHI	L 3-4	-	-	-
Jun 14th	PHI	L 3-15	-	-	-
Jun 13th	PHI	W 9-8	-	-	-
Jun 11th	@DET	W 7-5	-	-	-
Jun 10th	@DET	W 5-0	-	-	-

Corbin Burnes
P
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
P
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
IF
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
P
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Max Lazar
P
Lazar is out with oblique
Out
Andrew Painter
P
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable
Steward Berroa
OF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P	104	6.2	9	4
LG.Soto, P	10	0.2	1	0
RS.Dominguez, P	12	0.2	2	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, LF	1-3	1	0	1
2T.Turner, SS	2-5	0	0	1
3N.Castellanos, RF	2-5	0	0	0
4B.Harper, DH	1-4	0	0	1
5B.Stott, 2B	2-5	2	1	1
6A.Bohm, 3B	2-5	1	0	1
7K.Clemens, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	1-5	0	0	0
9G.Stubbs, C	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	82	4	5	5
RD.Jameson, P	35	2.1	3	0
LK.Nelson, P	16	0.2	0	0
RM.Castro, P	17	1.1	1	0
LA.Chafin, P	7	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Smith, RF	0-3	0	0	0
1E.Rivera, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1E.Rivera, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	1	1	3
3C.Carroll, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Carroll, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5L.Gurriel, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Rojas, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Rojas, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.McCarthy, CF	2-4	1	0	0
7J.McCarthy, RF	2-4	1	0	0
8G.Moreno, C	2-4	1	0	1
9G.Perdomo, SS	1-2	1	0	0