Phillies vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - May 4, 2026

Phillies at Marlins

10:40 pm • MIAM

Philadelphia Phillies

14-20

1 - 0

Miami Marlins

16-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Junk			3.00	2-2
A.Nola			6.03	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 14-20	-1.5	-1.5+149	o8.5-110	-105
Marlins 16-18	u8.5	+1.5-181	u8.5-109	-115

Monday 10:40 p.m.

May 04, 2026

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA -108

1.08u

O.Lopez o1.5 Total Bases+120

$1.00

MIA -104

O.Lopez o1.5 Total Bases+110

MIA +100

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Miami is 16-18 while Philadelphia is 14-20, so this is not a spot to pay name tax on the road. The Marlins already won 4-0 in this series and 4 of their last 5 wins held opponents to 2 runs or fewer. Philadelphia has 4 relievers on the injury sheet, which keeps the late-game path open for the home dog.

PHI -110

0.23u

@Zerillo ⭐️ https://myaction.app/a9jaSuCYR2b

L.Hicks o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-118

1.18u

MIA +112

0.94u

#EV 4.22%

MIA +100 (F5)

0.5u

(B3) We’re now looking at four straight years of K-BB% decline for Nola. It’s getting harder to defend him. Junk’s xERA is over a run better. PHI 94 wRC+ v RHP this year, MIA 107, though proj. PHI LU has a 10 point wRC+ edge since last year. MIA proj. LU five FRV and three BRR advantages. PHI pen estimators have been more than half a run better L30 days, but they may be down Kerkering (3 of L4). Still, bullpen issues force a unit split between full game and F5. (Play FG to -110, F5 to -120).

MIA +100

0.5u

3 MLB Player Props for Monday, May 4
Alex Hinton•
May 4, 2026 UTC
Phillies vs. Marlins: Twilight Total Pick
Action Network Staff•
May 4, 2026 UTC

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 7-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Marlins' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	16-18	9-10	7-8	9-9	7-9
Phillies	7-27	3-15	4-12	6-19	1-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	20-12-2	10-9	10-3-2	9-9	11-3-2
Phillies	17-15-2	9-8-1	8-7-1	14-10-1	3-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	16-18	11-8	5-10	12-6	4-12
Phillies	14-20	8-10	6-10	13-12	1-8

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 3rd	PHI	L 2-7	+1.5 L	O 8	PHI +120
May 2nd	PHI	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA -133
May 1st	PHI	L 5-6	+1.5 W	O 8	PHI -105
Apr 29th	@LAD	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +217
Apr 29th	@LAD	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	MIA +237

Max Lazar
RP
Lazar is out with oblique
Out

Andrew Painter
SP
Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.
Questionable
Steward Berroa
RF
Berroa is out with shoulder
Out

Maximo Acosta
SS
Acosta is out with oblique
Out
Adam Mazur
SP
Mazur is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RA.Nola, P	94	6	5
LT.Banks, P	18	1	1
LJ.Alvarado, P	8	1	1
RB.Keller, P	10	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Turner, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	3-4	1	1	1
4A.Garcia, RF	2-4	0	0	0
5B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7A.Bohm, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8G.Stubbs, C	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Crawford, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Junk, P	92	5.1	6	1
LJ.King, P	10	0.2	0	0
RC.Faucher, P	15	1	1	0
RL.Bachar, P	29	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Marsee, CF	2-4	0	0	0
2K.Stowers, LF	2-4	0	0	0
2J.Sanoja, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3O.Lopez, SS	1-4	0	0	0
4X.Edwards, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
5L.Hicks, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Morel, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7J.Mack, C	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Caissie, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8E.Ruiz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8E.Ruiz, RF	0-1	0	0	0
9G.Pauley, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9C.Norby, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Norby, 3B	0-1	0	0	0