Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 12, 2024

Pirates at Cardinals

11:45 pm • BSMW

Pittsburgh Pirates

8-15

2 - 4

St. Louis Cardinals

9-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Gray			3.84	13-9
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 8-15	+1.5-142	o8-115	+150
Cardinals 9-14	-1.5+120	u8-105	-180

Wednesday 11:45 p.m.

June 12, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

S.Gray o6.5 Ks-128

PIT u3.5-120

STL -0.5 (F5)-125

0.4u

STL -1.5+118

2.36u

PIT +145

Over 8-120

0.75u

STL -160 (F5)

0.31u

Flat to -171

S.Gray o6.5 Ks-125

Back to the well with Gray. Over in 5/9 since being fully stretched out, with 6+ in 8/9. PIT 83 wRC+, .646 OPS, 25% K% vs righties the L2 weeks. And gray with a strong K history vs the “tougher” matchups in Reynolds, Hayes and McCutchen.

S.Gray o6.5 Ks-120

Over 7.5-115

0.55u

Bet to 8 (+100)

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Featured Insight
Cardinals right-handed hitters have struck out just 18% against LHP this season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Pirates have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs right-handed batters this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Cardinals are just 2-16 (.111) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.

Oneil Cruz has an OPS of just .439 with two strikes this season -- 10th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Sonny Gray has allowed an OPS of just .385 (138 PAs) with two strikes this season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP-- 89th Percentile.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 34% of PA's this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 33% this season -- sixth highest among starting pitchers with at least 25 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 44% (8 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) -- tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 21% -- 98th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 14% (15 SO in 108 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- third Percentile.

Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .312 (109 Total Bases / 349 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .394 -- 96th Percentile.

Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (401/937) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 0-5 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 3-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Cardinals' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	11-12	8-4	3-8	1-4	9-8
Pirates	8-15	6-7	2-8	4-7	4-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	13-9-1	6-6	7-3-1	4-1	8-8-1
Pirates	10-12-1	8-5	2-7-1	5-6	5-6-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	9-14	8-4	1-10	1-4	7-10
Pirates	8-15	6-7	2-8	5-6	3-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 11th	PIT	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	PIT +124
Jun 9th	COL	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 8	STL -173
Jun 8th	COL	L 5-6	-1.5 L	O 8.5	COL -214
Jun 8th	COL	W 8-5	-1.5 W	O 8	STL -185
Jun 6th	COL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	COL -225

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jared Jones
P
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
IF
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	82	4	5	3
RC.Mlodzinski, P	33	2	3	1
RK.Nicolas, P	21	2	5	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4O.Cruz, SS	2-4	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
7E.Olivares, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0	1
9H.Davis, C	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	84	7	9	1
RA.Kittredge, P	14	1	2	1
RR.Helsley, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	0-4	0	1
2A.Burleson, DH	0-4	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	1-4	1	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	3-4	1	1
5N.Gorman, 2B	0-4	0	0
6I.Herrera, C	3-4	1	0
6P.Pages, C	0-0	0	0
7B.Donovan, LF	2-3	1	1
8D.Carlson, RF	1-4	0	1
9M.Siani, CF	1-3	0	0