Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - July 27, 2024

Pirates at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • ARID

Pittsburgh Pirates

7-5

3 - 4

Arizona Diamondbacks

6-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Z.Gallen			3.65	14-6
L.Ortiz			3.32	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 7-5	+1.5-144	o8-119	+142
Diamondbacks 6-6	-1.5+122	u8-102	-170

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

July 27, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI -1.5+128

Under 8.5-115

0.43u

Flat to -120

Under 8.5-115

0.87u

Under 8.5-115

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

$1.20

L.Ortiz o3.5 Ks-132

0.76u

L.Ortiz o3.5 Ks-132

0.76u

Projection lands at 4.02 and a +ev pick giving us value at this number

Featured Insight
Pirates have struck out just 17% over the last week -- second lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks RPs have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last week -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this month -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB. The Pirates have scored first in just 37% of their games this month -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: McGrath's Friday MLB Betting Card
Tanner McGrath•
Jul 26, 2024 UTC

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The Diamondbacks are 4-42 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

Eugenio Suarez has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- 13th highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 36% this season -- tied for ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	9-3	5-2	4-1	3-1	5-2
Pirates	7-5	4-2	3-3	5-1	2-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	7-4-1	4-3	3-1-1	2-2	4-2-1
Pirates	7-5	4-2	3-3	4-2	3-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	6-6	5-2	1-4	3-1	2-5
Pirates	7-5	4-2	3-3	5-1	2-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 25th	@KC	W 8-6	+1.5 W	O 9	ARI +100
Jul 24th	@KC	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9	ARI -107
Jul 23rd	@KC	L 4-10	+1.5 L	O 8.5	KC +130
Jul 21st	@CHC	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 7	CHC +110
Jul 20th	@CHC	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI -137

Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Lourdes Gurriel
LF
Gurriel is out with knee
Out
Merrill Kelly
SP
Kelly is out with back
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	93	5	4	3
RC.Mlodzinski, P	14	1	0	1
RK.Nicolas, P	22	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	1	1
2O.Cruz, SS	1-5	0	0
3N.Gonzales, 2B	1-5	1	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	0-1	0	0
4C.Joe, 1B	0-2	0	0
5J.Palacios, RF	1-3	0	2
6K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0
7J.Suwinski, LF	0-4	0	0
8J.Bart, C	1-3	1	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Gallen, P	102	6	6	3
RK.Ginkel, P	11	1	2	0
RR.Thompson, P	18	1	1	0
RP.Sewald, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
3J.Pederson, DH	1-3	1	1	1
4C.Walker, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5L.Gurriel, LF	3-4	1	0	0
6G.Moreno, C	1-3	0	0	1
7E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
8A.Thomas, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	0	0	0