Rays vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2026

Rays at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • SN1

Tampa Bay Rays

27-13

8 - 5

Toronto Blue Jays

18-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Gausman			3.86	2-3
D.Rasmussen			3.16	3-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 27-13	+1.5	+1.5-205	o7-115	+100
Blue Jays 18-23	u7.5	-1.5+180	u7-105	-120

Monday 11:07 p.m.

May 11, 2026

Rogers CentreToronto

K.Gausman u17.5 Outs+131

0.62u

#EV 4.9%

TOR -118

0.3u

Small to -125

TB +116

1.16u

TOR -110 (F5)

0.59u

#EV 2.16%

D.Rasmussen u4.5 Ks+105

0.54u

#EV 4.55%

Under 7+100

TB +110

1.1u

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Tampa Bay is 8-2 over the last 10 with a 1.42 ERA, and that profile travels better than the market is pricing. Rasmussen has the cleaner starter line at 2.95 ERA and 0.90 WHIP, while Toronto is still 18-22 overall. If this turns into a tight AL East game, the Jays' 2-6 record in one-run spots is not where I want to lay trust.

Under 7+100

Join Discord for earlier access: https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy Rasmussen and Gausman both enter below 3.10 ERA with WHIPs under 1.00, which is the first thing I want on an Under 7. Toronto has stayed at 7 or lower in 8 of its last 10, and Tampa Bay has done it in 5 of its last 10. Dome game, no wind excuse, two starters with command. One crooked inning can beat it, but the setup points low.

Over 7-115

0.87u

TB u3.5-125

1.25u

K.Okamoto o0.5 HR+325

0.1u

D.Rasmussen u17.5 Outs-105

0.53u

Over 4 (F5)+104

1.04u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 6-13 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Blue Jays' 22 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	16-25	10-12	6-13	12-14	3-11
Rays	26-14	13-5	13-9	14-7	12-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	19-20-2	11-11	8-9-2	13-12-1	5-8-1
Rays	18-20-2	6-11-1	12-9-1	9-10-2	9-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	18-23	12-10	6-13	14-12	3-11
Rays	27-13	14-4	13-9	15-6	12-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	LAA	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 8	LAA -119
May 9th	LAA	W 14-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TOR -185
May 8th	LAA	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	TOR -164
May 6th	@TB	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TB +120
May 5th	@TB	L 3-4	-	U 7	TB +104

Jose Berrios
SP
Berrios is out with elbow
Out
Anthony Santander
RF
Santander is out with shoulder
Out
Shane Bieber
SP
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out
Addison Barger
RF
Addison Barger (elbow) scratched Sunday.
Out

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Rasmussen, P	100	6	6	3
LI.Seymour, P	23	0.1	1	2
RH.Bigge, P	15	1.2	1	0
RB.Baker, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Simpson, LF	3-5	3	0	0
1J.DeLuca, LF	0-0	0	0	0
2J.Caminero, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Williamson, PR	0-0	0	0	0
2B.Williamson, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Aranda, 1B	2-3	2	1	3
4Y.Diaz, DH	0-5	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6R.Palacios, 2B	3-4	0	0	3
7C.Mullins, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8H.Feduccia, C	1-4	1	0	0
9T.Walls, SS	1-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Gausman, P	100	4.2	5	6
LM.Fluharty, P	18	1	0	0
RB.Fisher, P	19	1	0	1
LJ.Mantiply, P	16	1.1	0	0
RY.Rodriguez, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2Y.Pinango, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Okamoto, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
5D.Varsho, CF	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Sanchez, RF	1-2	1	0	0
6M.Straw, PH	1-2	1	0	0
6M.Straw, RF	1-2	1	0	0
7E.Clement, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Gimenez, SS	2-4	2	2	5
9B.Valenzuela, C	0-2	0	0	0