Red Sox vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - August 15, 2023

Red Sox at Nationals

11:05 pm • MASN

Boston Red Sox

19-27

5 - 4

Washington Nationals

23-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Gray			3.91	8-13
N.Pivetta			4.04	10-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 19-27	N/A	N/A	N/A
Nationals 23-24	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:05 p.m.

August 15, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

J.Gray u17.5 Outs-115

$173.91

Josiah Gray comes into this matchup with a elite 2.8 road ERA, but a horrific 5.17 home ERA. Looking deeper into the games at home Gray has been busted up at home by bats that are not elite at all such as the tigers, cardinals, twins, brewers - and now he matches us up against a far better offensive threat in the Rsox. The Rsox are top 3 in avg, top 6 in ops and specifically top 10 in OBP and are above league average in P/PA. That being said, the Sox should have some long at bats and get enough base hits to bounce Gray out prior to the 6th. Gray also has been pulled in the 5th multiple times this year because he seems to get into a lot of problems towards the end of his PC + the manager likes to swap for matchup purposes. 7-2 to the under 17.5 this year, and my sims have him at 4.9 IP. The Play: J.Grey u 17.5 outs -115

WSH +140 (F5)

0.5u

J.Gray u17.5 Outs-115

J.Duran o1.5 Total Bases-110

$1.10

WSH +145

$100.00

BOS -160 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -165

WSH +145

Pivetta has about a run on Gray - WAS 96/88/102 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, BOS 92/103/89 - WAS def 43 Runs Prevented better - BOS pen only 1/4 run better (L30 day estiamtors)

Over 9-102

0.51u

Tuesday. Bet to -110

Featured Insight
Nationals Right Handed Hitters have struck out just 19% against LHP this season -- second-lowest in MLB. Red SoxRPs have a strikeout rate of just 22% vs right-handed batters this season -- sixth-lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox have struck out just 21% over the last two weeks -- eighth-lowest in MLB. Nationals have a strikeout rate of just 19% over the last two weeks -- second-lowest in MLB.

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Tuesday's NRFI: Custom Pick for Javier, Gray
Shayne Trail•
Aug 15, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 15, 2023 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 18-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Nationals' 22 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	27-20	9-13	18-7	1-1	26-19
Red Sox	17-29	7-15	10-14	10-19	6-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	29-15-3	14-6-2	15-9-1	2-0	27-15-3
Red Sox	20-25-1	5-16-1	15-9	12-16-1	8-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	23-24	8-14	15-10	1-1	22-23
Red Sox	19-27	8-14	11-13	13-16	5-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 13th	ATH	W 8-7	-	-	-
Aug 12th	ATH	W 3-2	-	-	-
Aug 11th	ATH	W 8-2	-	-	-
Aug 10th	@PHI	L 2-6	-	-	-
Aug 9th	@PHI	L 0-7	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	86	4.1	7	4
LB.Bernardino, P	12	0.2	0	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	13	1	2	0
RC.Martin, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.Winckowski, P	20	1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	5	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-4	1	1	2
2J.Turner, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Devers, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
4T.Story, SS	0-3	0	0	0
5T.Casas, 1B	2-4	0	0	2
6A.Duvall, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Duran, LF	1-4	1	0	0
8P.Reyes, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
9R.McGuire, C	1-3	1	0	0
9C.Wong, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	83	3	4	5
LR.Garcia, P	23	2	1	0
RA. Machado, P	9	1	0	0
LJ.Ferrer, P	7	1	0	0
RJ.Weems, P	13	1	2	0
RH.Harvey, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	1-3	0	0
2L.Thomas, CF	0-3	1	0
3J.Meneses, DH	0-3	1	0
4K.Ruiz, C	1-4	1	2
5D.Smith, 1B	2-4	0	0
5M.Chavis, PR	0-0	0	0
5M.Chavis, 1B	0-0	0	0
6S.Garrett, RF	1-4	0	2
7J. Alu, 2B	0-4	0	0
8I.Vargas, 3B	0-4	0	0
9B. Rutherford, LF	1-4	1	0