Red Sox vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2024

Red Sox at Pirates

8:05 pm • SportsNet PT

Boston Red Sox

1-2

4 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.25	11-12
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 1-2	-1.5+175	o7.5-121	+100
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-205	u7.5+101	-120

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

April 20, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

PIT -118 (F5)

... mlb f5 low era fade Overall: 155-74-42,68% (ROI:16%) Season:1-2-1,33% (ROI:-34%)

PIT -113

0.28u

Bumping position. Bet to -131 after lineups

PIT -116 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -133

PIT -115

0.5u

Superbook. Update: Bet to -131

Under 4.5 (F5)-128

K.Crawford u5.5 Ks-120

1.2u

M.Keller o6.5 Ks+114

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 7.19 Ks and +ev bet with devig odds of -106 giving value to this number

Under 8-110

0.5u

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Featured Insight
Pirates RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 34% against LHP this season -- highest in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 40% of PA's this season -- fourth highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Brennan Bernardino has a strikeout rate of 39% this season -- tied for 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .149 (11 Total Bases / 74 ABs) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 -- 98th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .045 (2-for-44) against Kutter Crawford this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	90-72	48-33	42-39	19-26	69-45
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	61-92-9	33-43-5	28-49-4	17-26-2	42-65-7
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	71-91	44-37	27-54	22-23	48-66
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	BOS	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS -115
Apr 17th	@NYM	L 1-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +135
Apr 16th	@NYM	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYM -107
Apr 15th	@NYM	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM +105
Apr 14th	@PHI	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +164

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	100	6	6	1
RC.Martin, P	18	1	0	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	16	0.2	1	1
RG.Weissert, P	5	0.1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	14	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2W.Abreu, LF	1-2	0	0	1
3R.Refsnyder, RF	1-4	1	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Reyes, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	3-4	1	1	2
6B.Dalbec, 3B	0-4	0	0	1
6B.Dalbec, 1B	0-4	0	0	1
7E.Valdez, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	88	6	4	4
RL.Ortiz, P	40	2	2	0
RC.Holderman, P	24	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Olivares, DH	1-5	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, RF	3-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	3-4	0	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4J.Suwinski, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Joe, PH	1-1	1	1	1
4C.Joe, 1B	1-1	1	1	1
5J.Bart, C	1-3	0	0	0
6R.Tellez, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6A.McCutchen, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6A.McCutchen, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8O.Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-4	0	0	0