Red Sox vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - July 6, 2024

Red Sox at Yankees

5:05 pm • YES

Boston Red Sox

32-35

4 - 14

New York Yankees

39-25

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Cole			3.41	8-5
J.Winckowski			4.14	4-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 32-35	+1.5-135	o8.5-111	+147
Yankees 39-25	-1.5+114	u8.5-109	-176

Saturday 5:05 p.m.

July 06, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

NYY -165

0.25u

Superbook. Small to -180. Line crashed late

NYY -1.5+110

3.3u

Under 8.5-104

0.52u

Bet to -105

Over 9-105

BOS +164

Under 9-105

2.1u

G.Cole o6.5 Ks+110

0.88u

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Featured Insight
The Yankees have scored 6.3 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (6 games). The Red Sox have allowed 7.2 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB (5 games).

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The Yankees are 3-28 (.097) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

Jarren Duran is batting .417 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Gerrit Cole has a strike rate of 68% on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- tied for seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Rafael Devers is batting .294 on pitches 95 mph or greater since last season -- tied for 15th best in MLB-- 86th Percentile. Gerrit Cole has an average fastball velocity of 96.6 MPH since last season -- tied for 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .245 (609 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 13-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Yankees' 33 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	31-33	18-15	13-18	28-29	3-4
Red Sox	33-34	15-18	18-16	20-23	13-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	28-34-2	14-19	14-15-2	25-31-1	3-3-1
Red Sox	32-34-1	14-18-1	18-16	19-23-1	13-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	39-25	21-12	18-13	37-20	2-5
Red Sox	32-35	17-16	15-19	22-21	10-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 5th	BOS	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8	BOS -143
Jul 4th	CIN	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN -182
Jul 3rd	CIN	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -185
Jul 2nd	CIN	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CIN -218
Jun 30th	@TOR	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8	NYY -114

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Masataka Yoshida
LF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Winckowski, P	66	3.2	4	3
LB.Bernardino, P	14	0.2	0	2
RG.Weissert, P	22	0.1	0	4
RC.Anderson, P	52	3.1	3	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	0-5	0	0	0
2D.Hamilton, SS	1-3	1	0	0
2R.Gonzalez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
2R.Gonzalez, SS	0-2	0	0	0
3W.Abreu, RF	0-3	0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-4	2	1	2
4C.Wong, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
5E.Valdez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
5E.Valdez, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7R.McGuire, C	2-4	0	0	1
8D.Smith, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Cole, P	90	4.1	8	4
LT.Hill, P	32	2.2	1	0
LJ.Maciejewski, P	27	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Rice, 1B	3-5	3	3	7
2J.Soto, DH	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Judge, RF	2-5	2	0	0
3J.Jones, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	2-5	2	1	2
5A.Volpe, SS	1-5	1	0	1
6T.Grisham, CF	1-4	2	0	0
7J.Trevino, C	1-1	0	0	0
7A.Wells, PH	0-1	1	0	1
7A.Wells, C	0-1	1	0	1
8O.Cabrera, 2B	2-2	1	0	1
9D.LeMahieu, 3B	2-3	2	0	2