Reds vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Reds at Guardians

10:10 pm • CINR
@
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Gavin Williams logoG.WilliamsCleveland Guardians logo3.745-3
Chris Paddack logoC.PaddackCincinnati Reds logo7.630-5

Reds at Guardians Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds
23-21
+1.5
+1.5-145
o8-115
+150
Guardians
24-21
u8.5
-1.5+120
u8-105
-180
location pinSaturday 10:10 p.m.
May 16, 2026
Progressive FieldCleveland
thermometer image71°Fahrenheit
rain image9%Rain
wind image11Wind
Reds vs. Guardians Expert Picks
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 57-54-6 (+2.2u)
Under 8.5-115
0.58u
Not including this in Saturday's breakdown because only FD has this price and I'd want 8.5. Negative run environment, neutral weather, G.Williams approaching 30 K%, both offenses below 95 wRC+ Hm/Rd/v RHP, CLE proj Def 13 FRV, 7th best bullpen estimators L30 days

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Reds vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Reds

Public

26%

Bets%

74%

Money%

MLB Public Betting Right Arrow

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians
25-2014-811-1214-1111-9
Reds
26-1813-1113-79-617-12

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Guardians
22-239-1313-1012-1310-10
Reds
27-16-117-710-9-110-517-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians
24-2113-911-1214-1110-10
Reds
23-2113-1110-109-614-15

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 15thCINL 6-7-1.5 LO 8CIN -141
May 13thLAAW 4-2-1.5 WU 7CLE -159
May 12thLAAW 3-2-1.5 LU 8.5CLE -139
May 11thLAAW 7-2-1.5 WO 7.5CLE -173
May 10thMINL 4-5-1.5 LO 7.5MIN -162

Guardians vs. Reds Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

    Reds Injuries

    • Hunter Greene
      SP

      Greene is out with elbow

      Out

    Reds vs. Guardians Starting Lineups
    Reds Starting Lineup
    Projected
    PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
    Chris Paddack logoRC.Paddack, P0-57.631.6637.92
    HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
    Will Benson logo1W.Benson, RF.194.341.3432
    Elly De La Cruz logo2E.De La Cruz, SS.299.359.52510
    Sal Stewart logo3S.Stewart, 3B.244.328.47010
    JJ Bleday logo4J.Bleday, LF.321.455.7556
    Spencer Steer logo5S.Steer, 1B.259.333.4497
    Nathaniel Lowe logo6N.Lowe, DH.244.330.5126
    Tyler Stephenson logo7T.Stephenson, C.187.285.3083
    TJ Friedl logo8T.Friedl, CF.184.268.2702
    Matt McLain logo9M.McLain, 2B.214.320.3444
    Guardians Starting Lineup
    Projected
    PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
    Gavin Williams logoRG.Williams, P5-33.741.17510.73
    HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
    Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, LF.206.311.2651
    Chase DeLauter logo2C.DeLauter, DH.294.376.5036
    Jose Ramirez logo3J.Ramirez, 3B.207.340.3666
    Kyle Manzardo logo4K.Manzardo, 1B.203.286.2882
    Travis Bazzana logo5T.Bazzana, 2B.222.407.3111
    Daniel Schneemann logo6D.Schneemann, CF.272.357.4474
    Angel Martinez logo7A.Martinez, RF.260.300.4737
    Patrick Bailey logo8P.Bailey, C.000.000.0000
    Brayan Rocchio logo9B.Rocchio, SS.275.350.3733

    Reds vs. Guardians Odds Comparison

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    Reds at Guardians Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Reds
    23-21
    N/A
    N/A
    Guardians
    24-21
    N/A
    N/A