Reds vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - September 11, 2025

Reds at Padres

12:40 am • FDSOH

Cincinnati Reds

5-3

2 - 1

San Diego Padres

3-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			2.87	13-5
A.Abbott			2.87	10-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 5-3	+1.5	+1.5-181	o7.5-104	+126
Padres 3-5	u7.5	-1.5+151	u7.5-117	-149

Thursday 12:40 a.m.

September 11, 2025

Petco ParkSan Diego

Under 7.5-108

Tailing @Bet_Labs

Under 7.5-110

0.91u

CIN +126

1.26u

A.Abbott o4.5 Ks+136

0.68u

24.8 K%, 11.7 SwStr% L5 - avg 24 BF

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases+110

$1.10

F.Tatis o0.5 Singles-110

$1.00

SD -125 (F5)

$1.00

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

$1.00

SD -135

$1.35

Under 7.5-110

CIN +130

1.3u

Under 7.5-110

N.Pivetta o4.5 Hits Allowed+105

0.48u

CIN +150

0.75u

Bet to +135

CIN +150

1.5u

Abbotto may be legit FIP/xFIP beater (around a run over 400 inning career), Pivetta 3.65 SIERA/3.80 xERA - SDP 93 wRC+ v LHP, CIN 98 vs RHP - SDP strong, but not great bullpen estimators L30 days - CIN decent def edge + top base running team.

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	4-4	3-3	1-1	3-1	1-3
Reds	5-3	3-3	2-0	1-0	4-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	2-5-1	2-3-1	0-2	0-3-1	2-2
Reds	3-4-1	3-3	0-1-1	0-1	3-3-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	3-5	2-4	1-1	2-2	1-3
Reds	5-3	3-3	2-0	1-0	4-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 10th	CIN	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	CIN -195
Sep 9th	CIN	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SD -140
Sep 7th	@COL	W 8-1	-1.5 W	U 11	SD -269
Sep 7th	@COL	W 10-8	-1.5 W	O 11.5	SD -191
Sep 6th	@COL	L 0-3	-1.5 L	U 10.5	COL -220

Nick Lodolo
SP
Lodolo is out with finger
Out
Hunter Greene
SP
Greene is out with elbow
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with lower body
Out
Will Wagner
3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P		102	8	6	1
RT.Santillan, P		13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-3	1	0
2N.Marte, RF	0-5	0	0
3E.De La Cruz, SS	1-5	1	1
4A.Hays, LF	1-3	0	0
5G.Lux, DH	0-3	0	0
5M.Andujar, PH	1-1	0	1
5W.Benson, PR	0-0	0	0
5W.Benson, DH	0-0	0	0
6S.Stewart, 1B	0-4	0	0
7T.Stephenson, C	0-4	0	0
8K.Hayes, 3B	2-3	0	0
9M.McLain, 2B	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	101	7	8	0
LK.Hart, P	14	0.2	1	1
LA.Morejon, P	22	0.2	0	1
LY.Matsui, P	13	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-4	1	1	1
2L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2L.Arraez, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4G.Sheets, DH	1-3	0	0	0
4J.Iglesias, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5R.Laureano, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7R.O'Hearn, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7M.McCoy, SS	0-0	0	0	0
7B.Johnson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Cronenworth, SS	1-2	0	0	0
8J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-3	0	0	0