Rockies vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - March 31, 2023

Rockies at Padres

1:40 am • BSSD

Colorado Rockies

0-0

7 - 2

San Diego Padres

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Snell			2.25	14-9
G.Marquez			4.95	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 0-0	+1.5-120	o7-120	+180
Padres 1-2	-1.5+100	u7+100	-225

Friday 1:40 a.m.

March 31, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 8.5+100

Y.Daza o1.5 Total Bases+160

SD -1.5+100

COL +180

1.8u

J.Soto o0.5 HR+650

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Betting on 10 players to hit HR for 0.1U each.

Over 3.5 (F5)-105

0.95u

COL +1.5-130

COL +185

0.93u

SD -210

Keeping units low here because it's the first time using my updated MLB moneyline model. Available at FanDuel. I've got the Padres at 71% to win versus 67.7% implied. It's not because of German Marquez on the other side but rather because of basically everything else on the Rockies' roster. The Rockies do benefit from facing a lefty, but their low fly-ball rate reduces the odds they can exploit Snell's biggest weaknesses. It's tough to lay -210 on a volatile pitcher, but this specific matchup increases my comfort with it.

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Padres' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26
Rockies	66-96	34-47	32-49	3-2	63-94

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2
Rockies	71-85-6	39-38-4	32-47-2	3-2	68-83-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35
Rockies	43-119	25-56	18-63	2-3	41-116

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 27th	@SEA	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	SD -107
Mar 26th	SEA	W 5-5	-1.5 L	O 9	SEA -130
Mar 25th	@TEX	W 5-3	-	-	SD +115
Mar 24th	@LAA	W 3-0	-	-	SD +116
Mar 23rd	@MIL	L 2-4	-	-	-

Kris Bryant
DH
Bryant is out with back
Out
Tyler Freeman
RF
Tyler Freeman scratched Tuesday.
Out
Brenton Doyle
CF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Marquez, P	87	6	5	2
RD. Lamet, P	20	1	2	0
RJ.Lawrence, P	14	1	3	0
RJ.Bird, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y. Daza, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2K.Bryant, RF	3-5	1	0	1
3C.Blackmon, DH	3-5	1	0	0
4C. Cron, 1B	4-5	2	2	5
5E.Montero, 3B	2-5	1	1	1
5A.Trejo, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6R.McMahon, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
7E.Diaz, C	1-4	0	0	0
8H. Castro, LF	1-5	1	0	0
9E.Tovar, SS	1-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Snell, P	93	4.1	9	3
RN.Crismatt, P	32	1.2	2	2
RD. Tapia, P	42	2	4	2
RS.Wilson, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Grisham, CF	1-4	1	0
2J.Soto, LF	0-4	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	1-3	0	1
4X.Bogaerts, SS	3-4	1	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-3	0	0
6M.Carpenter, DH	0-3	0	1
7A.Nola, C	1-3	0	0
8H.Kim, 2B	1-4	0	0
9D.Dahl, RF	0-4	0	0