Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2024

Twins at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • MLB Network

Minnesota Twins

35-30

4 - 5

Arizona Diamondbacks

31-34

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Pfaadt			4.71	11-10
J.Ryan			3.60	7-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 35-30	-1.5	-1.5+130	o7.5-117	-130
Diamondbacks 31-34	u8.5	+1.5-155	u7.5-102	+110

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

June 26, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

J.Ryan u6.5 Ks-140

0.71u

ARI +107

2.14u

ARI +110

0.55u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

1.8u

MIN -125

1.25u

B.Pfaadt u5.5 Ks-138

0.72u

Under 8-110

0.55u

Bet to -115

J.Ryan u6.5 Ks-145

0.69u

J.Ryan u6.5 Ks-145

Under in 9/15, including 7/L10. The DBacks have been very stingy lately: 20.6% K% vs righties over the L30 (704 PA), with a 118 wRC+.

Featured Insight
Twins have struck out just 15% over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks RPs have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 45% this season -- fourth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Twins are 71-57 (.555) after a win since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .507.

Ketel Marte is batting just .225 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 10th worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 70% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-2 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 16-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 4 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Diamondbacks' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	30-34	14-18	16-16	16-25	14-9
Twins	38-27	19-10	19-17	25-18	13-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	30-31-3	13-16-3	17-15	20-18-3	10-13
Twins	25-36-4	11-17-1	14-19-3	18-23-2	7-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	31-34	15-17	16-16	20-21	11-12
Twins	35-30	19-10	16-20	25-18	10-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 23rd	@PHI	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +197
Jun 22nd	@PHI	L 1-12	+1.5 L	O 9.5	PHI +217
Jun 21st	@PHI	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI +120
Jun 20th	@WSH	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	ARI +120
Jun 19th	@WSH	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	WSH -173

Jordan Montgomery
P
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ryan, P	86	6	5	4
RJ.Alcala, P	19	1	1	1
RC.Sands, P	9	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Castro, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2T.Larnach, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Santana, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
7B.Buxton, CF	3-4	2	1	1
8R.Jeffers, C	1-3	1	1	3
9A.Martin, LF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Pfaadt, P	80	6.1	2	4
RK.Ginkel, P	5	0.2	1	0
RR.Thompson, P	13	1	0	0
RP.Sewald, P	17	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, CF	2-4	1	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	2-4	1	1	3
3J.Pederson, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.McCarthy, RF	1-4	1	0	0
7E.Suarez, 3B	1-3	1	0	1
8T.Barnhart, C	1-3	0	0	1
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-2	1	0	0