Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2025

Twins at Guardians

5:10 pm • MNNT

Minnesota Twins

51-59

3 - 4

Cleveland Guardians

56-54

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Lively			3.22	2-2
S.Woods Richardson			4.24	5-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 51-59	-1.5	-1.5+136	o9-119	-130
Guardians 56-54	u8.5	+1.5-162	u9-102	+110

Thursday 5:10 p.m.

May 01, 2025

Progressive FieldCleveland

Over 6.5 (Live)-120

0.83u

Value

S.Woods Richardson u4.5 Ks-130

0.58u

Over 9-110

Both starters: 4+ ERA, neither with a quality start this season. Wind blowing out in Cleveland – runs incoming. Guardians strong at home – 10-5 at Progressive, scoring jumps by 1.2 runs/game. Lively shaky – 4.40 ERA, 1.40 WHIP, 0 QS in 6 starts. Woods Richardson solid v CLE before, but gave up 2 HRs to them last time. Bullpens middling. Guardians bats heating up – Twins inconsistent – 13 hits in last 2 games after offensive burst. Both teams can mash when dialed in, shaky arms make Over 9 the sharp side.

CLE +100

Twins road woes continue — 4-12 away. Cleveland thrives at home (10-5) and feeds off momentum. Bo Naylor + Manzardo homers? Bats are waking up at the right time. Twins start Woods Richardson (4.07 ERA) — gave up 1 run last outing but shaky overall. 2.12 ERA vs CLE in 3 starts, but this Guardians lineup has improved. Ben Lively (4.40 ERA) hasn't had a quality start, yet CLE has won 4 of his 6 starts. He limits damage just enough. Twins offense inconsistent — Guardians rolling, manager Vogt boosting morale. CLE’s clutch hitting + crowd energy = big edge. Momentum matters, and right now it’s with the Guards.

MIN -107

1.07u

Over 9-108

1.08u

Over 8.5-118

1.18u

Over 9-105

0.53u

take 8.5 (-118) where available but majority of market at 9: bet to -117

Over 9-108

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 30-25 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 27 of Guardians' 55 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	56-54	26-29	30-25	23-23	33-30
Twins	55-55	28-26	27-29	33-37	21-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	48-58-4	27-27-1	21-31-3	24-22	24-35-4
Twins	45-60-5	24-28-2	21-32-3	30-37-3	14-23-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	56-54	29-26	27-28	30-16	26-37
Twins	51-59	30-24	21-35	37-33	14-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	MIN	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 7	CLE -110
Apr 29th	MIN	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -135
Apr 28th	MIN	L 1-11	-1.5 L	O 8	MIN -125
Apr 27th	BOS	L 3-13	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS +100
Apr 26th	BOS	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS +102

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Byron Buxton
CF
Buxton is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	98	4.2	4	2
RC.Sands, P	18	1.1	1	0
RL.Varland, P	12	1	1	0
RG.Jax, P	14	1	2	0
RJ.Duran, P	24	1	3	0
RJ.Topa, P	12	0.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	1-4	0	0
1R.Jeffers, PH	0-0	0	0
1D.Keirsey, PR	0-0	0	0
1D.Keirsey, RF	0-0	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	2-5	0	1
3B.Buxton, CF	2-5	0	0
4T.Larnach, DH	0-4	0	0
5T.France, 1B	3-5	0	0
5M.Gasper, PR	0-0	1	0
5M.Gasper, 1B	0-0	1	0
6B.Lee, 3B	1-5	0	0
6B.Lee, 2B	1-5	0	0
7H.Bader, LF	3-5	1	0
8K.Clemens, RF	0-3	0	0
8J.Bride, PH	0-1	0	1
8J.Bride, 3B	0-1	0	1
9C.Vazquez, C	1-3	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Lively, P	91	5.2	2	0
RJ.Junis, P	19	0.2	0	2
RH.Gaddis, P	19	0.2	1	0
LJ.Cantillo, P	24	0.2	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	25	1.1	0	0
LK.Allard, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	1	0	0
2G.Arias, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
2G.Arias, SS	0-3	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, DH	1-5	1	0	1
4K.Manzardo, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
5J.Noel, RF	1-4	1	1	1
5A.Martinez, PH	1-1	0	0	1
6D.Schneemann, CF	1-2	0	0	0
6D.Schneemann, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
7W.Wilson, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Rocchio, SS	0-2	0	0	0
8N.Jones, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8N.Jones, CF	0-1	0	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Naylor, C	0-1	0	0	0