Twins vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2023

Twins at Yankees

11:05 pm • YES

Minnesota Twins

0-0

4 - 3

New York Yankees

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Cortes			4.97	5-2
L.Varland			4.63	4-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	+1.5-139	o8.5-118	+150
Yankees 0-0	-1.5+115	u8.5-104	-182

Friday 11:05 p.m.

April 14, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

MIN +415 (Live)

3.11u

NYY -175

0.25u

MIN +155

0.78u

Bet to +154

Under 4.5 (F5)+100

0.5u

MIN +1.5-130

0.77u

MIN +1.5-132

MIN +160

1.28u

Available at FanDuel. My model has the Twins' win odds at 44.9% vs. 38.5% implied. Louie Varland performed decently well in a five-start stint last year with a 4.14 SIERA. The Twins are down some key pieces, but the offense showed it can still put up numbers despite that. Nestor Cortes has been fine but not dominant to open the year, pushing me to agree with the model here.

MIN o3.5-115

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The Yankees are 20-25 (.444) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .196.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	MIN	L 2-11	-1.5 L	O 9	MIN -144
Apr 12th	@CLE	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9.5	NYY -115
Apr 11th	@CLE	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -185
Apr 10th	@CLE	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CLE +130
Apr 9th	@BAL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYY -145

JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Varland, P	83	6	8	3
RE.Pagan, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Lopez, P	15	1	2	0
RJ.Duran, P	10	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Buxton, DH	0-3	1	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	2-4	1	1	3
3D.Solano, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
3N.Gordon, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3N.Gordon, LF	0-1	0	0	0
3N.Gordon, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
4J.Miranda, 3B	2-4	0	0	0
4J.Miranda, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
5R.Jeffers, C	0-2	0	0	0
6K. Garlick, RF	1-3	1	1	1
6T.Larnach, RF	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Larnach, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7W.Castro, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7W.Castro, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Julien, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Vazquez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Wallner, RF	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	93	7	7	2
RC.Holmes, P	17	1	0	2
LW.Peralta, P	18	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-3	1	1	1
2A.Judge, CF	1-4	1	1	1
3A.Rizzo, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4G.Stanton, DH	2-4	1	1	1
4A. Hicks, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4A. Hicks, DH	0-0	0	0	0
5G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6F. Cordero, RF	1-4	0	0	0
7O.Cabrera, LF	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	0-3	0	0	0
8W.Calhoun, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	0-3	0	0	0